Bowl Projections: College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl Preseason Prediction, Breakdown and History

Before the season gets underway, what's the first guess on what the 2024 College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl might be? Why did we make this call, who else should be in the mix, and what's the history of the bowl?

This will all change throughout the season with its twists and turns, but in the preseason, the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl projection is ...

College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl Projection

NOTE: The Quarterfinal locations for the 1-4 teams won’t be decided until after the final rankings

Predictions for Every Game
AAC | ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | CUSA
IND | MAC | MWest | SEC | Sun Belt
CFN Preview of All 134 Teams

Wednesday, January 1, 2025
8:45, ESPN
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Last Season: Washington 37, Texas 31
Preseason CFP Bowl Projection
4 Florida State (11-2) vs 5 vs 12 winner (5 Notre Dame)

CFN Preview of All 134 Teams

Why this is the preseason College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl Projection

- Here’s the main assumption with our bowl projections. The SEC and Big Ten will take up the top two seeds in some way, and the ACC and Big 12 champions will be the 3 and 4. Notre Dame will beat Florida State in South Bend in one of the biggest games of the year.

That should be enough to put the Irish ahead of the Noles in the final CFP rankings, but since it’s conference champs only in the top four, the ACC champion will get the call. And then …

- Welcome to Round 2. There won’t be any reseeding in the expanded College Football Playoff - it’s a flaw in the system - so no matter what, the 5 vs 12 winner will play the 4 seed.

We’re projecting that Notre Dame will beat Memphis in South Bend in the first round, and then comes the rematch with the Noles, only it’ll be in New Orleans.

- Notre Dame wins the first time around, and Florida State gets the one that really matters. It’ll be a second straight close, tough battle with both defenses dominating. On New Year’s Day before the Rose Bowl, this will set a wonderful tone for the rest of the College Football Playoff a week later.

5 teams also in the mix for the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl

1. Utah
2. Kansas State
3. Arizona
4. Michigan
5. Alabama

College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Allstate Sugar Bowl History

Jan. 1, 2024 Washington 37, Texas 31
Dec. 31 2022 Alabama 45, Kansas State 20
Jan. 1, 2022 Baylor 21, Ole Miss 7
Jan. 1, 2021 Ohio State 49, Clemson 28
Jan. 1, 2020 Georgia 26, Baylor 14
Jan. 1, 2019 Texas 28, Georgia 21
Jan. 1, 2018 Alabama 24, Clemson 6
Jan. 2, 2017 Oklahoma 35, Auburn 19
Jan. 1, 2016 Mississippi 48 Oklahoma State 20
Jan. 1, 2015 Ohio State 42 Alabama 35
Jan. 2, 2014 Oklahoma 45 Alabama 31
Jan. 2, 2013 Louisville 33 Florida 23
Jan. 4, 2012 Michigan 23 Virginia Tech 20 (OT)
Jan. 4, 2011 Ohio State 31 Arkansas 26
Jan. 1, 2010 Florida 51 Cincinnati 24
Jan. 1, 2009 Utah 31 Alabama 17
Jan. 1, 2008 Georgia 41 Hawaii 10
Jan. 3, 2007 LSU 41 Notre Dame 14
Jan. 2, 2006 West Virginia 38 Georgia 35
Jan. 3, 2005 Auburn 16 Virginia Tech 13
Jan. 4, 2004 LSU 21 Oklahoma 14
Jan. 1, 2003 Georgia 26 Florida State 13
Jan. 1, 2002 LSU 47 Illinois 34
Jan. 2, 2001 Miami 37 Florida 20
Jan. 4, 2000 Florida State 46 Virginia Tech 29
Jan. 1, 1999 Ohio State 24 Texas A&M 14
Jan. 1, 1998 Florida State 31 Ohio State 14
Jan. 2, 1997 Florida 52 Florida State 20
Dec. 31, 1995 Virginia Tech 28 Texas 10
Jan. 2, 1995 Florida State 23 Florida 17
Jan. 1, 1994 Florida 41 West Virginia 7
Jan. 1, 1993 Alabama 34 Miami 13
Jan. 1, 1992 Notre Dame 39 Florida 28
Jan. 1, 1991 Tennessee 23 Virginia 22
Jan. 1, 1990 Miami 33 Alabama 25
Jan. 2, 1989 Florida State 13 Auburn 7
Jan. 1, 1988 Auburn 16 Syracuse 16
Jan. 1, 1987 Nebraska 30 LSU 15
Jan. 1, 1986 Tennessee 35 Miami 7
Jan. 1, 1985 Nebraska 28 LSU 10
Jan. 2, 1984 Auburn 9 Michigan 7
Jan. 1, 1983 Penn State 27 Georgia 23
Jan. 1, 1982 Pittsburgh 24 Georgia 20
Jan. 1, 1981 Georgia 17 Notre Dame 10
Jan. 1, 1980 Alabama 24 Arkansas 9
Jan. 1, 1979 Alabama 14 Penn State 7
Jan. 2, 1978 Alabama 35 Ohio State 6
Jan. 1, 1977 Pittsburgh 27 Georgia 3
Dec. 31, 1975 Alabama 13 Penn State 6
Dec. 31, 1974 Nebraska 13 Florida 10
Dec. 31, 1973 Notre Dame 24 Alabama 23
Dec. 31, 1972 Oklahoma 14 Penn State 0
Jan. 1, 1972 Oklahoma 40 Auburn 22
Jan. 1, 1971 Tennessee 34 Air Force 13
Jan. 1, 1970 Mississippi 27 Arkansas 22
Jan. 1, 1969 Arkansas 16 Georgia 2
Jan. 1, 1968 LSU 20 Wyoming 13
Jan. 2, 1967 Alabama 34 Nebraska 7
Jan. 1, 1966 Missouri 20 Florida 18
Jan. 1, 1965 LSU 13 Syracuse 10
Jan. 1, 1964 Alabama 12 Mississippi 7
Jan. 1, 1963 Mississippi 17 Arkansas 3
Jan. 1, 1962 Alabama 10 Arkansas 3
Jan. 2, 1961 Mississippi 14 Rice 6
Jan. 1, 1960 Mississippi 21 LSU 0
Jan. 1, 1959 LSU 7 Clemson 0
Jan. 1, 1958 Mississippi 39 Texas 7
Jan. 1, 1957 Baylor 13 Tennessee 7
Jan. 2, 1956 Georgia Tech 7 Pittsburgh 0
Jan. 1, 1955 Navy 21 Mississippi 0
Jan. 1, 1954 Georgia Tech 42 West Virginia 19
Jan. 1, 1953 Georgia Tech 24 Mississippi 7
Jan. 2, 1952 Maryland 28 Tennessee 13
Jan. 1, 1951 Kentucky 13 Oklahoma 7
Jan. 2, 1950 Oklahoma 35 LSU 0
Jan. 1, 1949 Oklahoma 14 North Carolina 6
Jan. 1, 1948 Texas 27 Alabama 7
Jan. 1, 1947 Georgia 20 North Carolina 10
Jan. 1, 1946 Oklahoma State 33 St. Mary's 13
Jan. 1, 1945 Duke 29 Alabama 26
Jan. 1, 1944 Georgia Tech 20 Tulsa 18
Jan. 1, 1943 Tennessee 14 Tulsa 7
Jan. 1, 1942 Fordham 2 Missouri 0
Jan. 1, 1941 Boston College 19 Tennessee 13
Jan. 1, 1940 Texas A&M 14 Tulane 13
Jan. 2, 1939 TCU 15 Carnegie Tech 7
Jan. 1, 1938 Santa Clara 6 LSU 0
Jan. 1, 1937 Santa Clara 21 LSU 14
Jan. 1, 1936 TCU 3 LSU 2
Jan. 1, 1935 Tulane 20 Temple 14