National political polls are struggling to grapple with the revived Democratic presidential ticket, but two that have been updating regularly show an advantage for former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris .
CNBC and Rasmussen Reports have new data on Thursday giving Trump an edge, with CNBC attributing his lead to growing concerns about the economy and a surge of support from middle-aged voters.
CNBC said Trump leads by 2 points, 48%-46%, within the margin of error.
In that survey, Trump leads Harris 2-to-1 on who would handle the economy better.
What’s more, while Harris has helped to revive Democratic support from youthful voters, there has been a swing to Trump among millennials and Generation X voters.
“Young voters showed far greater support for Harris than they did for Biden, backing the vice president now by 10 points, compared to backing Trump by 2 points in the NBC July poll. That was offset by a big swing of 12 points among voters aged 35-49 towards Trump. The age group now supports Trump by 9 points,” the story on the poll said.
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In the Rasmussen Reports poll, Trump has maintained his lead, 49%-44%, in a head-to-head contest.
The big change in that survey is the apparent shift of support from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to Trump. A week earlier, Trump led Harris by just 1 point in the six-way matchup, while Kennedy was at 5%. Now, Kennedy is at 3%, and Trump leads Harris in that multi-candidate lineup 49%-44%.
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