Surf Forecast: Probable Early Start for 2024 WSL Finals

Less than a week away from the start of the waiting period for the Lexus WSL Finals , and just like the last three years, it's looking more and more likely that this thing kicks off right at the start of the window on September 6.

Without much activity in the South Pacific at present, the WSL is in the enviable spot of trying to make something out of not very much. The days leading up to the start of the waiting period remain small before getting a little southwest bump starting on September 5. Hopefully that energy holds into September 6 and delivers chest- to shoulder-high surf with some bigger sets.

It's looking like that's the best bet at the moment. Digging into Surfline's long range models , there are signs of life at the end of the waiting period around September 13 and 14, but it doesn't look to be anything too significant at the moment.

When the WSL Finals at Lower Trestles was launched three years ago and the window that was selected to run the one-day, winner-take-all fight for the world title largely based on Surfline's historical records. The window during the second week of September has proven to be the most consistent week of the year at the famed Southern California A-frame.

And for the last three years, the historical trend has bore out in epic fashion. The Pacific has delivered for every contest, especially the first year, when it was almost too big for the cobblestone point to handle. And in every instance, the event ran in the first day or two of the waiting period starting.

Related: Photos: John John Florence Sneaks A Hurricane Swell Session At Lowers

Save a round of tropical surf a couple weeks ago, the South Pacific has been pretty sleepy this summer and the Trestles zone has been fairly small scale all summer. The area's also been plagued by pesky south wind, which is the wrecker of small, gutless conditions.

There is time for things to turn around, but extended forecasting for Trestles is relatively accurate, compared to somewhere like Teahupo'o where the swells are generated much closer to the break.

Luckily, the bathymetry of Lowers sucks in any trace of south swell in the water, and while other spots up and down the coast will be flat, there's still a good, quality wave at Lowers. At the end of the day, these are the best surfers in the world and more than capable of putting on a good show. Like surf fans everywhere, we'll just have to wait and see what happens next.

Related: 2024 WSL Finals Lineup Confirmed, World Title Hunt Officially Underway

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