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Best NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, advice, strategy for Week 2, 2024: Fade this road favorite
By CBS Sports Staff,
10 hours ago
USATSI
The Falcons have lost their last three games dating back to last season, and only two teams are mired in longer losing streaks. Thus, Atlanta's opponent, the Eagles, are a target for Week 2 NFL knockout pool picks. Add in that Philadelphia has won four of the last five versus Atlanta and you almost have to convince yourself to not back the Eagles with Week 2 NFL survivor pool picks. Perhaps that convincing can come from the fact that the Eagles looked like Super Bowl contenders in Week 1, so if they are forecasted to win lots of games this season, should you want to use them up this early with NFL eliminator picks?
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 184-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 38-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as its top survivor pick. New Orleans won in 79% of SportsLine's simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the most lopsided game of the opening week.
In Week 2 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Seahawks , even though they are coming off a victory and are 3.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots. With journeyman Jacoby Brissett under center, the strength of New England's offense is its running game. The team leaned on that strength in Week 1, rushing for 170 yards, with Rhamondre Stevenson picking up 120 of those. Now, that dominant ground game gets to face the biggest weakness on the Seahawks, and that's defending the run.
No team has given up more rushing yards than Seattle since 2022, as it ranked 30th in defending the run in 2022 and then ranked 31st last year. The Seahawks have also allowed the most rushing TDs over that span, as Stevenson will be deployed liberally in this game. Add in that the Seahawks have lost five of their last seven road games, and they are ones to avoid in Week 2 NFL knockout pools. See which team to pick instead here .
How to make Week 2 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising road team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine .
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