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Kansas vs. UNLV prediction, odds, line, time: 2024 college football picks, Week 3 bets by proven model
By CBS Sports Staff,
13 hours ago
The Kansas Jayhawks and UNLV Rebels are both coming off nine-win seasons in 2023 and the programs will go head-to-head on Friday in a rematch of the 2023 Guaranteed Rate Bowl in Phoenix. Kansas won that matchup 49-36 and overcame a staggering 216 yards in penalties by putting up 591 yards of total offense. However, the Jayhawks are coming off a loss last week to Illinois and are 1-1 on the season, while the Rebels are 2-0 after wins over Houston and FCS Utah Tech.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
After a winless COVID season under Les Miles in 2020, Lance Leipold has slowly built Kansas football back into a respectable program. The Jayhawks went 9-4 in 2023 and finished ranked in the AP Poll for the first time since 2007. That includes the bowl win over UNLV where Jason Bean threw for 449 yards and six touchdowns. Bean was forced into action last season and played well when starting quarterback Jalon Daniels suffered a season-ending back injury.
However, Daniels has returned to action in 2024 and combines with running back Devin Neal to form one of the most dynamic backfields in the Big 12. Neal has already rushed for 3,290 yards in his career at Kansas and is only 552 yards shy of braking June Henley's 29-year-old career rushing record at KU. The Jayhawks have covered the spread in five of their last six against Mountain West opponents and they'll look to get their season back on track at home on Friday. See which team to pick here .
Why UNLV can cover
The Rebels are also coming off a historic season, reaching nine wins for the first time since an 11-2 season in 1984 that was later vacated by the NCAA. Barry Odom's first year in charge feels like a lifetime removed from UNLV's own winless season (0-6) during the COVID year and now he has even bigger aspirations in the Mountain West and beyond.
With starting quarterback Jayden Maiava leaving for USC in the transfer portal, Odom turned to Matthew Sluka to run his offense. In two games, Sluka has thrown for 232 yards and five touchdowns with one interception and he's currently the team's leading rusher with 129 yards on the ground to go along with one touchdown. The Rebels have covered the spread in their last seven games on the road and are 11-4 against the spread over their last 15 games. See which team to pick here .
How to make Kansas vs. UNLV picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 64 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine .
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