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College Football Parlay Power Picks: Week 3
9 hours ago
We are back again for week three of our NCAA football parlay, to recap, we again went 1-2 Against The Spread with our parlay picks and missed on our parlay. That brings us to 2-4 ATS year with our NCAA picks. We will have full disclosure each week to track progress. Remember that the probability of cashing a three-team parlay is 6/1, so a realistic goal is for us to hit on two or three for the season.
In addition, you can play these picks straight up or as a money-line parlay. Our NCAA Football Parlays will target sharp plays, line holds, or games where Vegas books have a heavy liability on one team. In other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day.
The betting lines are those posted at Caesar Sportsbook and are subject to change. To be a profitable sports bettor, the odds are in your favor to stay away from public plays, usually the betting favorite.
Parlay Leg #1: North Texas/ Texas Tech over 69
The opening leg of our parlay is North Texas Mean Green and Texas Tech Red Raiders over 69.5. We have a reverse line movement on the game total. Only 38% percent of the bets are on the over and yet the total has moved from the opening 69 to at some books 69.5. The sharps are on North Texas makes them a live underdog. The active underdog paired with an over play is a profitable wager. North Texas comes in averaging 43.5 ppg and Texas Tech gives up a robust 44 ppg. The Texas Tech offense will be at home and look to get back on track after last weeks 16 point outing at Washington State.
Parlay Leg #2: Pittsburgh Panthers +2
Parlay play number two we move to the backyard brawl and the Pittsburgh Panthers +2 versus the West Virginia Mountaineers. Another reverse line movement, with West Virginia getting 77% of the spread bets and yet the opening line dropped from 4.5 to now 2. Pittsburgh will look to avenge last season’s 17-6 defeat at West Virginia. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home and 7-3 in their last 10. Take the Panthers getting the points at home.
Parlay Leg #3: Ole Miss/Wake Forest First Half over 33
The final leg of our parlay is the Ole Miss Rebels and Wake Forest Deamon Deacons first half over 33. Here we have the heavy favorite who is expected to get off to a fast start, leading to the first-half points bonanza. Jaxson Dart and Rebels come into Wake Forest averaging a ridiculous 64 ppg, so that offensive output speaks for itself. Wake Forest is no slouch offensively currently sitting at 37.5 ppg. Ole Miss put up 31 points first half-points last week and 52 in week one. That coupled with a decent Wake Forest team at home should get us over the 33 number.
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