Texas vs. UTSA odds, spread: 2024 college football picks, Week 3 predictions from proven computer model

The No. 2 Texas Longhorns (2-0) will be eyeing another blowout victory when they host the UTSA Roadrunners (1-1) on Saturday night. Texas cruised to a 52-0 win over Colorado State in Week 1 before making a statement with a 31-12 road win at then-No. 10 Michigan last week. UTSA beat Kennesaw State in its opener, but it lost to Texas State in a 49-10 final in Week 2. Texas picked up a 41-20 win over UTSA when these teams met in 2022.

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on Saturday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. The Longhorns are favored by 35.5 points in the latest Texas vs. UTSA odds, while the over/under is 53.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any UTSA vs. Texas picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 4-0 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on UTSA vs. Texas . You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:

• Texas vs. UTSA spread: Texas -35.5
• Texas vs. UTSA over/under: 53.5 points
• Texas vs. UTSA picks: See picks here

Why Texas can cover

Texas entered the season as a national championship contender, and it has backed up that narrative in style through the first two weeks of the campaign. The Longhorns blew out Colorado State in a 52-0 final in Week 1 before going on the road and taking down then-No. 10 Michigan in front of a packed Big House last week. Junior quarterback Quinn Ewers completed 24 of 36 passes for 246 yards and three touchdowns in the win over the Wolverines, while Texas rushed for 143 yards.

Ewers has completed 69.8% of his passes for 506 yards and six touchdowns overall this season, establishing himself as a Heisman Trophy contender. Senior tight end Gunnar Helm is coming off a strong performance, catching seven passes for 98 yards and a score. Texas is riding an eight-game home winning streak and has covered the spread in five of its last six games. See which team to pick here.

Why UTSA can cover

This is a letdown spot for Texas after its impressive road win at Michigan in a game that was the biggest of the week in college football. The Longhorns might have trouble bringing the same level of intensity for this matchup, especially since UTSA is coming off a blowout loss to Texas State. UTSA was only a 2.5-point underdog in that game, so that was a surprising result.

The Roadrunners were only 13-point road underdogs when they played at Texas two years ago, and they won nine of their last 10 games prior to last week's loss. Texas has struggled against this level of competition, failing to cover the spread in five straight games against AAC opponents. The line has also moved from -32 to -35.5, so there is some value taking UTSA at this number. See which team to pick here.

How to make Texas vs. UTSA picks

The model has simulated UTSA vs. Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Texas vs. UTSA, and which side of the spread is hitting almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UTSA vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception , and find out.