2024 Week 4 NFL point totals, over-under picks, Vegas betting lines: Proven model reveals 25-1 parlay

After suffering late losses to the Chiefs and Raiders to start the season, the Ravens finally got back on track with a 28-25 win over the Cowboys last Sunday. The over has hit in all three Ravens games this season and Baltimore's offense is averaging a league-leading 430.1 yards per game entering Week 4. Can you expect to see another high-scoring affair when the Ravens host the Bills on Sunday Night Football? The latest Week 4 NFL totals list the over/under at 45.5 points for Lamar Jackson vs. Josh Allen. Which side of that line should you play and which NFL over/unders should you target as you place your Week 4 NFL bets and NFL parlay picks? Before you make any Week 4 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. It's also 8-5 on top-rated over/under picks since the start of that season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it for NFL betting is way up.

Now, the model has scoured the Week 4 NFL odds and locked in five confident NFL over/under best bets. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 4 NFL total picks at SportsLine .

Top Week 4 NFL total picks

One part of the five-line NFL totals parlay we can reveal: The model says the Over (41.5) hits in Saints vs. Falcons on Sunday in a total that has dropped a field goal from the open. The Falcons are one of eight teams in the NFL that have had the under hit in their first three games, but it wouldn't be wise to bet against an offense with talent like Atlanta has forever.

Kirk Cousins, Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts form the core of an offense that could go off at any moment. New Orleans' pass defense ranks 26th entering Week 4 and the last time that Kirk Cousins took on a Dennis Allen defense, the two teams combined to score 53 points in a 28-25 win for the Vikings in 2022. Meanwhile, the Saints and Falcons combined to score 65 points in their last matchup and the model predicts the over hits here in well over 60% of simulations. See which other NFL over/under parlay picks to make here .

How to parlay Week 4 NFL over/unders

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the over-under is way off, including an A-rated pick that hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's NFL Week 4 best bets and over/under parlay at SportsLine .

So how many points are scored in each game and which over/unders should you include for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 4 NFL total picks from a model on an 187-130 run on top-rated picks , and find out.