Latest analytics reveal shocking win probably for Ohio State vs. Oregon showdown

Games aren't played on computers, but quality analytics help oddsmakers and bookies make hand-over-fist compared to the eye test of bettors. With the countdown to Week 7's marquee matchup between Ohio State and Oregon ticking away, we're covering the Big Ten showdown from all angles.

That includes what analytics are projecting. We checked multiple analytical sources, and both agree that this matchup of the nation's No. 2 and No. 3 overall teams significantly favors one side.

Ohio State vs. Oregon Game Preview and Analytics

Football data scientist Parker Fleming (not the former Ohio State special teams coach who was fired this past offseason) has revealed his advanced stats preview of the Buckeyes vs. Ducks.

Using projected points and analyzing essentially every measure of team efficiency possible (which you can see in the chart and his original tweet below), the Buckeyes have almost a 63 percent chance to win. They're projected to win 27-23, notably boasting advantages in in almost every offensive vs. defensive metric.

The only metric Ohio State doesn't have the leg up on Oregon is its Rush Rate Over Expected (RROE), but that's more of a sign of aggression than a negative tendency.

The Buckeyes' offense notably has a large advantage in EPA per rush, early down EPA, and 3rd and 4th down success. The Buckeyes defense has an even bigger tilt in their favor across the board when Oregon has the ball.

In fact, the Buckeyes' efficiency is the best in the country in several areas. This includes their EPA margin on offense and defense, plus net points per drive. Oregon is more than respectably top 15 in most of these areas, so it's not as if they're significantly behind.

Of course, neither the Ducks nor the Bucks have faced a strong set of opponents thus far. ESPN has the Ducks sitting 94th in strength of schedule and Ohio State at 109. This will be the first time either team faces another powerhouse, though Oregon was taken to the brink of defeat by Ashton Jeanty Boise State.

ESPN's own analytics show that the Buckeyes are 64 percent likely to win the matchup. Three points favor the Buckeyes, though that line started at 3.5 points. The total has also dipped, going from 55.5 to 53.5. If you think Oregon pulls the upset, you can grab Dan Lanning's crew for +140.