Stunning New Poll Could Spell Trump’s Doom This Election

A new poll shows that Kamala Harris has taken the lead among suburban and middle-class voters over Donald Trump.

Reuters/Ipsos polling shows 47 percent of suburban voters supporting Harris versus 41 percent supporting Trump, a nine-point improvement for Harris over President Biden, who was behind Trump by a 43 to 40 percent margin. Harris also now leads Trump by a 45 to 43 percent margin among middle-class voters (people earning between $50,000 and $100,000 per year), a reversal of Trump’s seven-point lead over Biden.

In 2020, Trump won middle-class voters by 52 percent to 47 percent, while Biden won in the suburbs by six points. Trump still leads Harris on who is better on the economy by 8 points, 46 percent to Harris’s 36 percent, according to Reuters. But gains in the suburbs are definitely a positive sign for the vice president, on top of other polls showing that she’s gaining support from working-class voters.

Overall, among registered voters, Reuters’s poll has Harris with a narrow 46 to 43 percent lead. Harris is also ahead of Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania , and she’s even making inroads among people who describe themselves as Republicans . The Reuters poll follows The New York Times / Siena College poll released earlier this week, which shows a similarly narrow 49 to 46 percent lead for Harris.

Harris has a long way to go to ensure victory, with the election less than a month away. The polls don’t count everyone who will be showing up to vote in November, especially people who didn’t vote in 2020 . Despite the record turnout four years ago, one-third of eligible voters didn’t vote back then. Polls show that Harris could make significant inroads with them if she pushes harder for a cease-fire in Gaza and an arms embargo against Israel.