Tennessee vs. Florida odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 7 predictions by proven model

The No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (4-1) will be looking to put their first loss of the season in the rearview mirror when they host the Florida Gators (3-2) on Saturday night. Tennessee had its four-game winning streak snapped in a 19-14 loss at Arkansas last week, but it returns to Knoxville for a four-game homestand. Florida head coach Billy Napier is still on the hot seat, although it has cooled off slightly following wins over Mississippi State and UCF. The Gators have won 17 of the last 19 meetings between these rivals, including a 29-16 win at home last season.

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville. The Vols are 14.5-point favorites, per SportsLine consensus, in the latest Tennessee vs. Florida odds. The over/under for total points is 57. Before entering any Florida vs. Tennessee picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks since inception, and is 8-4 on top-rated picks over the past two weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Florida vs. Tennessee . You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread , money line and over/under :

• Tennessee vs. Florida spread: Tennessee -14.5
• Tennessee vs. Florida over/under: 57 points
• Tennessee vs. Florida money line: Tennessee -654, Florida: +462
• Tennessee vs. Florida picks: See picks here
• Tennessee vs. Florida streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Tennessee can cover

Tennessee will be happy to return home following its flat performance at Arkansas last week, especially since it is 17-1 in its last 18 games at Neyland Stadium. The Vols had covered the spread in five consecutive games prior to their loss against the Razorbacks, scoring more than 50 points in their first three home games of the season. Their success against Florida has been limited in recent decades, but quarterbacks Joshua Dobbs and Hendon Hooker were able to achieve wins against the Gators.

The Vols have another star quarterback this season, as freshman Nico Iamaleava has 1,048 passing yards and seven touchdowns. Junior running back Dylan Sampson leads the rushing attack with 589 yards and 12 touchdowns, while DeSean Bishop has added 306 yards and three scores. Florida has only covered the spread three times in its last 10 games, so this is a perfect opportunity for Tennessee to get back on track against a rival. See which team to pick here.

Why Florida can cover

Napier remains on the hot seat, but that situation could change drastically if he can lead the Gators to a win on Saturday. They are coming off back-to-back wins over Mississippi State and UCF, winning both of those games by double digits. Their defense put together a strong showing in the win over the Knights, holding them to just 108 rushing yards while notching five sacks.

Veteran quarterback Graham Mertz completed 19 of 23 passes for 179 yards, while freshman DJ Lagway completed all four of his throws for 50 yards. If the Gators can hold Tennessee's rushing attack in check on Saturday, it will put the pressure on Tennessee's passing attack, which struggled at Arkansas. See which team to pick here.

How to make Tennessee vs. Florida picks

The model has simulated Florida vs. Tennessee 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Tennessee vs. Florida, and which side of the spread is hitting nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Florida vs. Tennessee spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception , and find out.