Fantasy Basketball Rankings 2024-25: Sleepers, breakouts and busts by advanced NBA simulation

Bronny James probably isn't a name you'll want to target in 2024-25 Fantasy basketball drafts, but his father certainly is even as LeBron James enters his 22nd NBA season. James was 13th in the league in scoring (25.7 points per game) and fifth in assists (8.3 per game) last season. With James able to achieve one of his long-discussed goals of playing with his son in the NBA, will Fantasy basketball players see an even more rejuvenated version of James, who turns 40 in December, for the 2024-25 Fantasy basketball season? James played 71 games last season, the most in his six seasons in Los Angeles, and now with Bronny sharing the floor with him, will he push to play even more?

The only question about James entering 2024-25 Fantasy basketball drafts is exactly how high you should select him. Is he still worthy of first-round selection at this stage in his career, or should he be a little lower in 2024-25 Fantasy basketball rankings? A reliable set of 2024-25 Fantasy basketball rankings can help you make difficult decisions throughout your 2024 Fantasy basketball drafts. Before making any 2024-25 Fantasy basketball picks, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy basketball rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

SportsLine's proven model simulates each season 10,0000 times. This model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. These cheat sheets and rankings, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there's a change on a roster, the team at SportsLine updates its cheat sheets.

Last year the model called Thunder G/F Josh Giddey a bust, predicting that he would never live up to his sixth-round ADP. The result: Giddey had his minutes reduced significantly with Oklahoma City's roster improving and saw corresponding drops in points (16.6 to 12.3), rebounds (7.9 to 6.4) assists (6.2 to 4.8) and steals (0.8 to 0.6). The Thunder ultimately decided to trade him to the Bulls for Alex Caruso this offseason and Fantasy basketball managers who avoided the headache last season were better off for it.

The model also nailed DeMar DeRozan as a sleeper in 2021-22 before he averaged a career-best 27.9 points per game and called Paolo Banchero's and Victor Wembanyama's breakout seasons before they went on to win NBA Rookie of the Year honors the last two seasons. Anyone who followed the model's Fantasy basketball advice on them was well on their way to making a deep postseason run.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NBA season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy basketball rankings 2024-25, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see these 2024-25 Fantasy basketball rankings .

Top 2024 Fantasy basketball sleepers

One of the top 2024 Fantasy basketball sleepers the model is predicting: Grizzlies point guard Ja Morant. You wouldn't normally think of a two-time All-Star like Morant as a sleeper, but he's fallen a bit off the radar due to a pair of suspensions, plus an injury, over the last two years. Morant has played in just 17 of a possible 102 regular-season games for Memphis since early March of 2023.

Over his nine games last year, he was still elite, averaging 25.1 points, 8.1 assists and 5.6 rebounds. It was a small sample size, but Luka Doncic, Nikola Jokic and LeBron James were the only other players to average at least 25-8-5 in the 2023-24 NBA season. Morant is fully recovered from shoulder surgery, well-rested, and he says he's in a good place mentally, which could be a scary sight for the rest of the league as he embarks on a revenge tour. The 2024 Fantasy basketball rankings slot Morant as a top-three Fantasy point guard, even putting him ahead of Steph Curry. See more Fantasy basketball sleepers 2024 here .

Top 2024 Fantasy basketball breakouts

One of the 2024 Fantasy basketball breakouts the model has identified: Wizards PF/C Alex Sarr . The 19-year-old Frenchman is 7-feet tall with a 7-foot-4 wingspan and he was the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft . Sarr moved to the United States in 2021 to play for Overtime Elite and then got significant professional experience playing for Perth in Australia last season.

Sarr averaged 9.4 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.5 blocks in around 17 minutes per game for Perth and he's an extremely high-upside prospect for the Wizards. Initially, expect Sarr to use his length and athleticism to affect the game as a stretch big and a rim protector. The model projects Sarr as a top-45 forward in his rookie season despite the fact that he's been the 64th forward off the board on average. Identify other Fantasy basketball breakouts 2024 here .

Top 2024 Fantasy basketball busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Nets center Nic Claxton as one of its top 2024 Fantasy basketball busts. The 25-year-old had a decline in scoring and efficiency last season, averaging 11.8 points per game on 62.9% shooting compared to 12.6 points on 70.5% shooting the season before. Claxon led the NBA in shooting percentage two years ago but had a slight decline last year. He's also starting the season at less than 100% health as the 6-foot-11 center didn't play the preseason opener due to hamstring soreness.

The Nets hope to finally get a healthy season from Ben Simmons . If Simmons is productive and any semblance of the player who was selected with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2016 NBA Draft, the 6-foot-10 Simmons will take away some inside scoring and rebounding from Claxton. The center also had a decline in defensive statistics, averaging fewer blocks and steals last season than the year before. His numbers dipped last season despite averaging the same minutes causing some concern and leaving the model ranking Claxton as a Fantasy basketball bust. Avoid these 2024 Fantasy basketball busts as well .

How to find proven 2024-25 Fantasy basketball rankings

SportsLine is also has a shocking prediction for one of the league's biggest names and advises avoiding him in 2024 Fantasy basketball drafts at his current ADP. This bust fails to live up to his first-round ADP, ranking behind players available in the third round or later like Damian Lillard and James Harden . You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy basketball rankings for every player, at SportsLine .

So which 2024-25 Fantasy basketball sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which huge name should you avoid? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024-25 Fantasy basketball cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that's nailed its Fantasy basketball picks , and find out.

Consensus Top 100 Fantasy Basketball ADP 2024-25

1. Nikola Jokic (DEN - C)
2. Victor Wembanyama (SAS - C,PF)
3. Luka Doncic (DAL - PG,SG)
4. Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL - PF,C)
5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC - PG,SG)
6. Jayson Tatum (BOS - SF,PF)
7. Tyrese Haliburton (IND - PG,SG)
8. Joel Embiid (PHI - C)
9. Anthony Edwards (MIN - SG,SF)
10. Anthony Davis (LAL - PF,C)
11. Stephen Curry (GSW - PG,SG)
12. Domantas Sabonis (SAC - PF,C)
13. Trae Young (ATL - PG)
14. Devin Booker (PHO - PG,SF,SG)
15. LeBron James (LAL - PF,SF)
16. Kevin Durant (PHO - SF,PF)
17. Donovan Mitchell (CLE - PG,SG)
18. Jalen Brunson (NYK - PG,SG)
19. Scottie Barnes (TOR - PF,SF,SG)
20. Chet Holmgren (OKC - C,PF)
21. Kyrie Irving (DAL - PG,SG)
22. De'Aaron Fox (SAC - PG)
23. Alperen Sengun (HOU - C)
24. Damian Lillard (MIL - PG)
25. Ja Morant (MEM - PG)
26. Dejounte Murray (NOR - PG,SG)
27. Tyrese Maxey (PHI - PG,SG)
28. Paolo Banchero (ORL - PF,SF)
29. LaMelo Ball (CHA - PG,SG)
30. Bam Adebayo (MIA - C)
31. James Harden (LAC - PG,SG)
32. Kawhi Leonard (LAC - PF,SF,SG)
33. Paul George (PHI - SF,PF,SG)
34. Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN - C,PF)
35. Lauri Markkanen (UTH - PF,SF)
36. Jaylen Brown (BOS - SG,SF)
37. Desmond Bane (MEM - SF,SG)
38. Evan Mobley (CLE - C,PF)
39. Jaren Jackson Jr . (MEM - PF,C)
40. Cade Cunningham (DET - PG,SG)
41. DeMar DeRozan (SAC - PF,SF,SG)
42. Pascal Siakam (IND - C,PF,SF)
43. Jalen Williams (OKC - PF,SF,SG)
44. Nikola Vucevic (CHI - C,PF)
45. Jamal Murray (DEN - PG,SG)
46. Zion Williamson (NOR - C,PF)
47. Franz Wagner (ORL - PF,SF,SG)
48. Mikal Bridges (NYK - PF,SF,SG)
49. Jimmy Butler (MIA - PF,SF)
50. Rudy Gobert (MIN - C)
51. Derrick White (BOS - PG,SG)
52. Brandon Ingram (NOR - PF,SF,SG)
53. Myles Turner (IND - C)
54. Jarrett Allen (CLE - C)
55. Deandre Ayton (POR - C)
56. Fred VanVleet (HOU - PG)
57. Darius Garland (CLE - PG)
58. Jalen Green (HOU - PG,SG)
59. Nic Claxton (BKN - C,PF)
60. Josh Giddey (CHI - PG,SF,SG)
61. Zach LaVine (CHI - SG,SF)
62. Julius Randle (NYK - PF)
63. Keegan Murray (SAC - PF,SF)
64. Immanuel Quickley (TOR - PG,SG)
65. Kristaps Porzingis (BOS - PF,C) OUT
66. Brandon Miller (CHA - SF,SG)
67. Austin Reaves (LAL - PG,SF,SG)
68. Miles Bridges (CHA - SF,PF)
69. D'Angelo Russell (LAL - PG,SG)
70. Jalen Duren (DET - C)
71. CJ McCollum (NOR - PG,SG)
72. Devin Vassell (SAS - SG,SF)
73. Kyle Kuzma (WAS - SF,PF)
74. Michael Porter Jr . (DEN - PF,SF)
75. Tobias Harris (DET - SF,PF)
76. Jrue Holiday (BOS - PG,SG)
77. Tyler Herro (MIA - PG,SG)
78. Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU - C,PF)
79. Cam Thomas (BKN - SG)
80. Jalen Johnson (ATL - PF,SF)
81. Brook Lopez (MIL - C)
82. Bradley Beal (PHO - PG,SG)
83. Jusuf Nurkic (PHO - C)
84. Jonathan Kuminga (GSW - PF)
85. Jonas Valanciunas (WAS - C)
86. Coby White (CHI - PG,SG)
87. Jordan Poole (WAS - PG,SG)
88. Walker Kessler (UTH - C)
89. Jakob Poeltl (TOR - C)
90. RJ Barrett (TOR - PF,SF,SG)
91. Anfernee Simons (POR - PG,SG)
92. Mark Williams (CHA - C)
93. Clint Capela (ATL - C)
94. Khris Middleton (MIL - SF,SG)
95. Terry Rozier (MIA - PG,SG)
96. OG Anunoby (NYK - PF,SF)
97. Klay Thompson (DAL - SG,SF)
98. Tyus Jones (PHO - PG)
99. Chris Paul (SAS - PG)
100. John Collins (UTH - C,PF)