New post-debate poll finds Trump with clear lead over Biden in Pennsylvania

A post-debate poll found that former President Donald Trump has a sizable lead over President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania going blue in 2020 played a key role in Biden taking the White House, a turn thought by many to have been solidified in 2022, when Democrats won the gubernatorial and Senate races. However, a new Cygnal poll shows Trump has a significant chance of recreating his 2016 victory, leading Biden in the Keystone State by 4 percentage points.

“Trump holds a four-point lead over incumbent Joe Biden in both the head-to-head matchup and full presidential ballot,” Cygnal and Trump 2020 pollster Brock McCleary said in a statement. “Trump turned the Keystone State red in 2016 but Biden was able to flip it back to blue in 2020, meaning Pennsylvania is likely to determine the next President."

"This latest data shows momentum building for Trump with his net favorability increasing to 45% while Biden’s stands at just 39%, coupled with an even worse number – an unfavorable view among voters at 60%,” he added.

Trump has been ahead of Biden in Pennsylvania in every major poll taken in June, but Monday's poll, conducted July 27-28, gave Trump his largest lead yet. In a matchup between just Biden and Trump, the former president won 48% of the vote compared to Biden's 44%. When other candidates are thrown into the mix, Trump gets 42% compared to Biden's 38%.

Also alarming for Biden is the favorability ratings; among crucial swing voters, 74.5% have an unfavorable view of Biden compared to 61.9% with Trump.

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The bad showing for Biden may also be a shift in priorities, with abortion being the priority of less than 10% of those surveyed. Among swing voters, that declined to 5.8%. Trump polls much more favorably on the top two issues for voters, inflation and the economy and illegal immigration and border security.

The Biden campaign faces a difficult challenge following the president's shaky debate performance, which highlighted concerns over his mental acuity. His family has reportedly urged him to remain in the race.