New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

The New York Yankees (63-45) and Philadelphia Phillies (65-41) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

Yankees 3B Jazz Chisholm Jr. and CF Aaron Judge each homered twice as part of a 6-home run barrage in Monday’s series opener. New York won 14-4 to earn its 3rd straight triumph. Over the 3 games, the Bronx Bombers have tallied 33 runs.

Philadelphia owns MLB’s best record, but the Phillies are just 1-4 over their last 5 games and 3-8 across their last 11.

Yankees at Phillies projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Cole (3-2, 5.40 ERA) is lined up for his 8th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 35 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 12-3 home defeat vs. New York Mets Wednesday
• Career vs. Phillies: 6-3, 2.90 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts

Nola (11-4, 3.44 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has logged a 1.06 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 across 130 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 5-4 loss at Minnesota Twins Wednesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 2.88 ERA (25 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 4 starts
• Has clocked 2.45 ERA, 0.74 WHIP over his last 4 starts at home

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Phillies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Yankees at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Phillies 4

The YANKEES (+100) are 5-1 over their last 6 games against the Phils. Included in Philly’s recent struggles is a 2-5 mark in the club’s last 7 at Citizens.

Cole was perhaps brought back too soon, without enough of an in-season spring training ramp up in the minors. But he’s pitched better than what his surface line shows. Specifically, of late he’s been undone by a high batting average on balls in play (.350 BABIP in last 4 starts).

New York now has DH Giancarlo Stanton back after he had missed several weeks with a hamstring injury. Add in the newly acquired Chisholm, and the Yankee offense is looking like the Bronx Bombers moniker may again be applicable after some June-July batting woes.

TAKE NEW YORK (+100).

The Under has some lean, but any would-be sway toward a Yankee underdog play is watered down by the high price tag. AVOID.

The Over cruised in Monday’s game, but the Under had been 6-2 across Philadelphia’s previous 8 contests.

The pitching matchup for Tuesday makes for a slight Under lean. Back-end bullpen types are rested. Cole has talent indicators outpacing his surface ERA, and Nola specializes in avoiding hard contact.

BET THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips

SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:

Subscribe now to dominate the competition.