Yankees vs. Rays odds, line, score prediction, start time: 2024 MLB picks, July 22 bets by proven model

The New York Yankees will look to earn a split of their four-game wrap-around series with the Tampa Bay Rays when they meet in a key American League East matchup on Monday. After losing the opener 6-1 on Friday, Tampa Bay answered with a 9-1 victory on Saturday and a 6-4 triumph on Sunday. The Rays (50-49), fourth in the division, have won six of nine to move into the Wild Card conversation. The Yankees (59-42), second in the East, have lost three of four.

First pitch from Yankee Stadium in New York is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees lead the all-time series 264-203, including a 145-89 edge in games played at New York. New York is the -169 favorite on the money line (risk $169 to win $100) in the latest Rays vs. Yankees odds from SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 8.5. Before making any Yankees vs. Rays picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer simulation model .

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered the All-Star break of the 2024 MLB season a profitable 52-42 on all-top rated MLB picks this season. Dating back to last season, it is on a 24-10 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+977). Anybody following has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Rays and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks . Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Rays vs. Yankees:

• Yankees vs. Rays money line: New York -169, Tampa Bay +142
• Yankees vs. Rays over/under: 8.5 runs
• Yankees vs. Rays run line: New York -1.5 (+119)
• TB: The Rays have covered the run line in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.95 units)
• NYY: The Yankees have hit the run line in 41 of their last 73 games (+14.55 units)
• Yankees vs. Rays picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Yankees

New York is expected to send left-hander Carlos Rodon (9-7, 4.63 ERA) to the mound. In 20 starts this season, Rodon has pitched 107 innings, allowing 55 earned runs and 33 walks, while striking out 112. After winning seven decisions in a row from May 8 to June 10, he has lost five of his last six starts. He pitched well in his last start, a no-decision in a 6-5 loss at Baltimore on June 14. He went four innings, allowing four hits, two earned runs with three walks and seven strikeouts.

Offensively, Aaron Judge continues to power New York. In 99 games this season, he is batting .309 with 24 doubles, one triple, 35 homers and 89 RBI. He was 2-for-4 with a three-run homer in Sunday's loss to the Rays. In 107 career games against Tampa Bay, he has slugged 23 homers with 55 RBI. See picks at SportsLine .

Why you should back the Rays

Right-hander Zack Littell (3-6, 4.26 ERA) will start for Tampa Bay. In 19 starts, he has logged 101.1 innings, allowing 48 earned runs and 19 walks, while striking out 94. He received a no-decision in his last outing, a 4-2 loss to the Cleveland Guardians on July 13. He is 1-0 against the Yankees this season, pitching 5.2 innings in a 7-2 win on May 11. In that game, he allowed just four hits, two earned runs and two walks, while striking out three.

Infielder Jose Caballero has been red hot of late and is 4-for-11 in the series with a homer and two RBI. In Sunday's win, he was 2-for-4 with a homer. In 82 games, Caballero is hitting .244 with 12 doubles, one triple, seven homers and 26 RBI. In 16 career games against the Yankees, he has two doubles, one homer and four RBI. See picks at SportsLine .

How to make Rays vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.1 combined runs. He also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the MLB model's picks and analysis at SportsLine .

So who wins Yankees vs. Rays and which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that's on a 24-10 roll on top-rated MLB run-line picks , and find out.