Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (52-32) and San Francisco Giants (40-44) wrap up a 3-game set at Oracle Park Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-2

After dropping Friday’s opener 5-3, the Dodgers won 14-7 in 11 innings as -191 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday as the Over (7) cashed. C Will Smith started a 7-run 11th inning with a 2-run double after DH Shohei Ohtani, who led off, was intentionally walked.

The Giants had the bases loaded with 1 out in the bottom of the 10th (82% win probability according to ESPN), but C Patrick Bailey struck out and 3B Matt Champan popped out to Smith in foul territory. The Giants have won 4 of their last 6 games, but are just 4-7 over their last 11.

Dodgers at Giants projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. TBD

Paxton (7-1, 3.39 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.299 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 71 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-0 win at Chicago White Sox Monday
• 2024 road stats: 4-1, 3.98 ERA (43 IP, 19 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 9 starts
• 2024 vs. Giants: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP), 4 H, 5 BB, 5 K in 1 start, an 8-3 home win April 1
• Career vs. Giants: 2-0, 2.30 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.66 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 3 starts

The Giants had not yet named a starter, and a 2nd straight bullpen game is probable for the finale.

• Giants rotation is thin after injuries to RHP Alex Cobb (hip, shoulder) and LHPs Kyle Harrison (ankle), Robbie Ray (elbow) and Blake Snell (groin)
• Giants bullpen leads MLB with 350 2/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Giants +1.5 (-150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Dodgers at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Giants 4

It’s unlikely that the Dodgers (-130) will lose Sunday’s rubber match to the Giants, who are just 2-6 against L.A. this season. While the Dodgers may be in a let-down spot after a 7-run win in extra innings Saturday, Paxton should give them a clear advantage in the 1st 5 innings against an exhausted Giants bullpen.

BET DODGERS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-135).

The Dodgers should win, but they’re just 23-28 on the run line after a victory this season. San Francisco +1.5 (-150) may cover, but its thin bullpen should be a huge cause for concern.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

The Over has hit in the 1st 2 games of this series, and the finale should also be high-scoring with another bullpen game likely for San Francisco. The Over is 9-5 (64.3%) when the Giants are home underdogs this season and 24-19 (55.8%) when they’re coming off a loss.

However, 9 is a key number in MLB totals, so I wouldn’t bet this unless you can get it at reduced juice (-104 or better).

LEAN OVER 9 (-110).

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