Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (39-49) and Seattle Mariners (49-41) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Blue Jays suffered a 2-1 loss Friday as the Mariners (-128) earned the win as home favorites with the Under (7.5) easily cashing. Toronto has dropped 3 in a row, and 5 of the past 6 outings. Despite the total going low, the Over has cashed in 9 of the past 12 contests.

The Mariners have won 2 in a row after a 4-game skid. The Seattle pitching staff has allowed 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight games, cashing low on the total in 3 of the past 4 outings. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 contests.

The 1st-place M’s have struggled at home lately, going just 2-4 in the past 6 outings at T-Mobile Park, with the Under going 9-3-1 in the past 13 outings.

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Emerson Hancock

Rodriguez (5-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 98 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home setback vs. Houston Astros Monday
• 2024 road splits: 0-2, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.82 WHIP, .282 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1 HR, 6 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
• Never faced Mariners before

Hancock (3-3, 4.79 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 1 K in 3-2 home loss in 10 innings vs. Chicago White Sox June 13
• 2024 home splits: 2-2, 2.89 ERA (28 IP, 9 ER), 1.07 WHIP, .208 OBA, 5 HR, 9 BB, 14 K in 5 starts
• Never faced Blue Jays before

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Blue Jays at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Blue Jays +1.5 (-220) | Mariners -1.5 (+168)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS ( -120 ) are a solid play as moderate favorites at home as they look to secure the series win with a 2nd straight victory.

After a 4-game skid, the M’s have come alive with 2 straight wins while allowing just 4 runs in the past 2 outings. Seattle is 3-2 in Hancock’s past 5 starts, too.

The last-place Blue Jays (+110) have dropped 3 in a row, and 5 of the past 6 outings, while going 1-3 in the past 4 outings with Rodriguez on the hill.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, consider the MARINERS -1.5 ( +168 ) at plus-money.

Seattle has managed 8 victories since June 15, and 6 of those wins were by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the M’s, you should like Seattle to get the job done on the run line, too.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 ( +100 ) is the lean with a matchup of Rodriguez and Hancock, but go lightly.

The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games for the M’s, and just 5-2-1 in the past 8 outings. However, the Over has a slight 4-3-1 edge in Hancock’s 8 contests.

For the Blue Jays, the Over has cashed in 9 of the past 12 outings, but be careful. The Under is 5-1 in Rodriguez’s 6 starts, although his past 2 starts are mostly due to a lack of run support, not great pitching.

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