Mountain View
Timothy Dennis
New England weather this week: Cool
It'll be yet another mainly quiet week for New England after Monday. With that said, a trough will hang around for most of the week, providing chilly nights and cool days. An area of low pressure will move north of New England today. This will drag its cold front across the region. A surface low will likely form along the front while over New England, which will result in a period of widespread rainfall, with some heavier downpours and possibly some rumbles of thunder.
Quick slug of rain incoming to New England tonight
After high pressure builds into New England today, a trough will cross the region starting tonight. This system will bring a period of beneficial rain and usher in a cooler, more October-like air mass into the region. An upper-level system will pass well to the north of New England, dragging its fronts across the region. This may spawn a surface low near New England, which would help create more widespread showers. These showers will move west east starting Sunday night for western New England and moving eastward through the day Monday.
Cool weather upcoming to New England next week After Monday front
After a low pressure system moves to the north of New England this morning, high pressure will build back into New England for the remainder of the weekend. The system to the north will drag its weak cold front across the region, though there won't be much of an air mass change behind it, so temperatures will remain seasonable to mild for New England. Rapid clearing is expected behind the front into this afternoon.
Mild now; cooler weather coming to New England next week
The northern tier of the United States has generally been under zonal flow for the latter part of this week. Zonal flow occurs when the jet stream is in a more stable state, lying "flat" across the United States. This allows for a strong west-to-east motion when it comes to weather events moving across the country. A strong west-to-east motion allows for weather systems to move across the country fairly quickly, both high and low pressure systems.
Recovery continues across south a week after Helene landfall
Last Thursday, a category four hurricane made landfall near Perry, Florida. The hurricane sped through Florida and into Georgia, the Carolinas and Tennessee by Friday. After causing significant damage across Florida's Big Bend region in the form of a record breaking storm surge and 90-100mph winds, the storm dropped 1-2+ feet of rain across the south as it stalled out due to a blocking high across the northeast.
Zonal flow helps keep New England's weather low impact for now
The weather across much of the country will remain rather quiet and low impact over the next week or so, mainly due to zonal flow setting up across the northern tier of the country. Zonal flow occurs when the jet stream is in a more stable state, lying "flat" across the United States. This allows for a strong west-to-east motion when it comes to weather events moving across the country.
New England October weather outlook: Stagnant pattern ahead?
It's now what many would consider to be the quintessential month for New England as fall gets into full swing. Average high temperatures drop a good 15 degrees from the 1st to the 31st this month. For those who love this season and the typical weather it brings, long range signals are generally positive.
Hurricane season: What's next after Helene?
The Atlantic Basin remains rather active as what's left of Helene continues to deteriorate over the center of the country. A total of five areas are currently being watched by the National Hurricane Center, including two named storms. These named storms are Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce. Neither of these storms pose a threat to land. The three other areas of interest aren't an immediate concern, but will need to be watched eventually.
Helene stays south of New England; next widespread rain chance comes midweek
High pressure has settled over New England and will remain in place through the weekend and into early next week. The center of this ridge is once again just to New England's east, which will allow for an onshore flow, bringing cooler temperatures and increased clouds to the coastal plain. On top of that, the northern fringes of Helene's clouds will push into southern and central New England. So, despite the high pressure, plenty of clouds will be around through the weekend.
High pressure to block hurricane remnants from New England again
As Hurricane Helene lifts into the interior southeast today, Yesterday's upper low that brought rain to New England will be sliding eastward, away from the region. The system's cold front will stall to the south of New England today, which may make cloud cover stubborn across the southern tier of New England. Regardless, skies will be on a clearing trend as the day goes on. With the upper low still near Nova Scotia, a few wrap around showers will be possible across eastern Maine.
Rainy day for New England today as Helene bears down on south
An area of low pressure will be passing to New England's north today. This will drag its fronts across the region, leading to a very wet day and evening for the region. As expected, a bout of rain has broken out across northern New England this morning. The rainfall will generally stay in northern New England through much of the morning before expanding southward later in the day.
Soaking rain incoming to New England
An area of low pressure will be moving to the north of New England over the next 36 hours. This system will drag its fronts across the region, leading to a period of widespread rainfall. Conditions are looking favorable for a period of steady rainfall with embedded bouts of scattered downpours within the system's warm sector. A bulk of the rainfall will move through tonight through Thursday.
Cool weather continues before New England's next rain maker
After dry, albeit mainly cloudy skies for New England under high pressure, the region's next system will be moving in after midweek amid a relatively interesting setup. This will come as what will soon be Hurricane Helene bears down on the southeast. While this storm won't directly affect New England, the weather is one big machine and everything is connected in some way.
Showers continue Saturday, cooler temperatures stick around thereafter for New England
The coastal system that has been sitting off the coast of Cape Cod will continue to do so today before very slowly beginning to move out to sea away from New England. This will cycle a lot of clouds and scattered showers into eastern areas for one more day. The overall weather for Saturday will be very similar to Friday, though showers will likely continue to push farther west than the previous days.
Stalled system off Cape Cod to meander around through Saturday
A blocking pattern will persist over New England for the next few days as a ridge of high pressure over northern New England prevents a coastal system from making a timely exit. This is the same basic pattern we've been in for a while, it's just the high pressure and low pressure systems involved have pushed farther north, allowing southern New England to get in on the cooler, cloudier and more unsettled weather through the weekend.
System swirls offshore of New England for next couple days
An area of low pressure has stalled out just offshore of Cape Cod this morning due to a blocking high to the north. As of Thursday morning, steadier batches of rain remain just offshore of Cape Cod. Just how much of this rain activity will end up making it over land in New England remains to be seen today. The highest rain chance continues to be the South Shore and Cape Cod with showers becoming less common moving north and west. Today will likely be a mainly dry day for most in New England.
New England's dry spell set to end (for some)
After a very dry start to September, at least a portion of New England will be getting beneficial rain over the next few days. This will come as an area of low pressure to New England's south will cycle rounds of showers into the region from Thursday through the end of the week. These showers will still struggle to push into northern New England with high pressure and an advancing cold front acting as a shield. Overall, showers have trended northward over the past 24 hours.
New England's weather pattern gradually begins to shift
New England has been dominated by domes of high pressure for the better part of two weeks now. More recently, this high pressure has resulted in a Rex Block (high pressure directly over low pressure, blocking the low pressure's northward advancement) since the middle of last week. This has brought very stagnant, warm weather to New England along with a growing dry spell. This will finally be changing going forward, but it won't be an abrupt change. It will be a positive change for those who want more fall-like temperatures.
Timothy Dennis
449+
Posts
10M+
Views
I'm a New England weather enthusiast. All my life I have been fascinated by the weather. I've spent years studying and analyzing weather and its impacts on New England. I break down New England's current weather while looking back on the past.
It’s essential to note our commitment to transparency:
Our Terms of Use acknowledge that our services may not always be error-free, and our Community Standards emphasize our discretion in enforcing policies. As a platform hosting over 100,000 pieces of content published daily, we cannot pre-vet content, but we strive to foster a dynamic environment for free expression and robust discourse through safety guardrails of human and AI moderation.