Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Preview, Prediction, and Odds | August 17th 2024

The Boston Red Sox head to Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the third installment of their four-game series. The series is tied at 1-1 a piece going into Saturday night. The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East and are three games out of a wild-card spot going into this one. The Baltimore Orioles are a game out of first place in the AL East, trailing behind the New York Yankees. They hope to add another win to their 72-50 season record.

According to ESPN analytics, the Baltimore Orioles are coming in as home favorites to pick up the win. However, anything can happen with divisional rivals who have the hopes of playoffs hanging in the balance. Let's get right into this one.

Key Stats

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Boston Red Sox

Righty Brayan Bello is set for his 23rd start of the 2024 regular season against the Baltimore Orioles. Bello is 3-0 in his last 8 games and is 1-1, with a 3.48 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Baltimore Orioles in ten innings pitched throughout his career. He plans for another impressive start on Saturday. 4.97 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 114 strikeouts.

Key player Rafael Devers (.298 BA) leads the Red Sox in hitting. He ranks 11th in the MLB for home runs with 26. In his last 15 games, Devers has 19 hits, 3 home runs, 11 RBIs, and a .302 batting average. In his last game against the Baltimore Orioles, Devers hit a homer along with 3 RBIs. He hopes to replicate that success Saturday night.

Baltimore Orioles

Lefty Cade Povich is expected for his 9th start of the season against the Boston Red Sox. Povich has been bumped up from Triple-A to make the starting lineup for this series. He is 0-3 in his last three starts, giving up 17 hits, 17 runs, and 3 home runs. Povich hopes to pitch a good game to keep himself on the rotation. 6.27 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 25 strikeouts.

Short-stop Gunnar Henderson (.287 BA) leads his team in batting average and with an impressive .927 OPS. In his last 7 appearances, Henderson has 9 hits, 3 home runs, 5 RBIs, and a .310 BA.

Alongside Henderson, Anthony Santander (.242 BA) ranks 3rd in the MLB for home runs with 36 on the season. He has 2 homers in his last four, yet he still doesn't have any in the series against the Red Sox. Expect him to make an impact in this tight game.

Prediction

The Boston Red Sox hope to continue on the path to an AL Wild Card spot. The Red Sox are 4-6 in their last 10 games and rank fourth OPS in the MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best records in baseball, still fighting for that first spot in the AL East. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and rank second OPS in the MLB.

Although the odds favor the Orioles in this one, the pitching matchup cannot be ignored here. The Orioles are bringing up a struggling MLB pitcher from the minors against a competitive divisional rival, giving him a chance while giving other pitchers a break.

Although the Orioles have some strong batting numbers, the Red Sox still have a higher batting average and on-base percentage on the season. Ultimately, it will be difficult for the Orioles to keep up with the Red Sox in this game. I'll take the Boston Red Sox to pick up the win on the road.

Final Pick

Boston Red Sox (+115)

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Article originally written by Dylan Perez