New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Odds | NL Wild Card Game 1

The Milwaukee Brewers (93-69 regular season) host the New York Mets (89-73 regular season) in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card. The Brewers enter the playoffs as the third seed in the National League, having comfortably won the National League Central division, beating out the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs by 10 games.

The Mets clinched the playoffs in what was a wild doubleheader on Monday afternoon. They beat the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 by a score of 8-7 to enter the playoffs as the sixth seed.

Can the Mets carry over their emotions to Game 1 of the Wild Card, or will the Brewers use their extra rest to take an early series lead?

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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Match Details

• Fixture: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
• Date and Time: Tuesday, October 1st, 2024 at 5:30 PM ET
• Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

New York Mets

The New York Mets will begin their quest for the World Series by sending Luis Severino to the mound. Severino ended the season with a record of 11-7. He also posted an ERA of 3.91. Severino had his fair share of struggles on the road this season, posting a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 5.00 across 15 starts. In one start against the Brewers, Severino was 0-1 with an ERA of 5.40.

Standouts on the Mets include Francisco Lindor, who led the team in batting average (.273) and RBIs (91), and Pete Alonso, who led the team in home runs (34). As a team, the Mets averaged 4.74 runs per game while allowing 4.30 runs per game.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers will counter with Freddy Peralta to begin their postseason. Peralta finished the regular season will a record of 11-9. He posted an ERA of 3.68, striking out 200 batters, the 11th most in the league. Peralta has had some struggles at home this season, posting a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 4.01 across 17 starts. At home, Peralta allowed 42 earned runs in 94.1 innings. In one start against the Mets, Peralta was 1-0 with an ERA of 1.50.

The Brewers had a few standout players this season, starting with William Contreras, who led the team in batting average (.282). Shortstop Willy Adames led the team in home runs (32) and RBIs (112). As a team, the Brewers average 4.79 runs per game and they allow 3.96 runs per game.

Prediction

The Brewers are a slight favorite in Game 1 of this Wild Card series, but look to be the best play. While Peralta has struggled at home, Severino has struggled more when it comes to playing on the road. Further, Peralta has had success against the Mets this season, while Severino had issues against the Brewers.

The Mets also have a quick turnaround after their doubleheader on Monday, while the Brewers have had time to rest. Because of this, backing the Brewers to open this Wild Card series with a win will be our best bet.

Final Pick

Milwaukee Brewers ML (-135)

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Article originally written by Matthew Lowrimore