The two major candidates started the campaign with Trump leading Harris at -200 to +200 at U.K. bookmaker Bet365. The betting house had Harris in the lead at -125 with Trump at even money, as of late Sunday.
Harris took the lead at U.K. Bookmaker Betfair Exchange Thursday with her lead growing after Trump's press conference the same day.
"The past 3 weeks have shown her defying expectations again and again, with punters gaining more confidence that she can credibly challenge Trump in November," Betfair Exchange spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said in an email to USA TODAY. "Will she maintain her momentum with the punters? Time will tell."
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Vice President Kamala Harris interacts with supporters during a presidential campaign rally in Glendale, Ariz., on Aug. 9, 2024. Joe Rondone/The Arizona Republic via USA TODAY Network
How accurate have election odds been in past presidential elections?
The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866 , according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.
The two upsets came in 1948, when Harry Truman (D) beat eight-to-one odds to defeat Thomas Dewey (R), and in 2016, when Trump overcame seven-to-two odds to beat Hillary Clinton.
Biden was the betting favorite in the 2020 race, holding the pole position with Oddscheker from May through November.
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