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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions
By Drew Phelps,
5 hours ago
The Atlanta Braves (61-55) and Colorado Rockies (43-75) conclude a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rockiesodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Braves broke their 6-game losing streak on Saturday 11-8 behind 2 HRs and a career-high 6 RBI from 1B Matt Olson. Atlanta also got HRs and multi-hit efforts from DH Marcell Ozuna and RF Jorge Soler. The Braves are 8-13 since the All-Star break.
A 5-run 3rd inning ended starter Dakota Hudson‘s night early. Colorado did get a big offensive performance from No. 9 hitter LF Sam Hilliard, who went 3-for-4 with a HR, double, 2 runs scored and 5 RBIs. This was the Rockies 4th loss in their last 6 games.
Braves at Rockies projected starters
RHP Spencer Schwellenbach vs. LHP Kyle Freeland
Schwellenbach (4-5, 4.04 ERA) makes his 12th career start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP.
Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 5-3 victory against the Miami Marlins on Aug 2
2024 road splits: 2-2, 3.94 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 5 starts
Has never faced the Rockies
Freeland (3-4, 5.65 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.
Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-3 win against the New York Mets Tuesday
2024 home splits: 1-0, 2.51 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 12 R (8 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 5 starts
Career vs. Braves: 1-4, 6.26 (46 IP, 33 R (32 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 8 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Braves -184 (bet $184 to win $100) | Rockies +154 (bet $100 to win $154)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Braves -1.5 (-122) | Rockies +1.5 (+102)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
Braves at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 7, Rockies 3
PASS.
I’ve got the Braves (-184) taking this series on Sunday, but not at those odds. I’ll take my wager to the run line.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (-122).
The Rockies have struck out the 2nd-most times in the MLB this season, nearly 10 times per game. Schwellenbach has nearly a 10 K/9 and has notched double-digit strikeouts in each of his last 2 starts. This would be a game I’d target the Over on Spencer’s K prop (+130 for 7+; +500 for 9+).
The Braves are 20-12 against lefties this season and hit .253 as a team against them. Freeland has not fared well against Atlanta in his career, has not beaten them in nearly 6 years.
I know that this series has gone Over this total in each of the 1st 2 games, but I’m seeing a downturn in runs scored in the series finale. The Under has hit in Schwellenbach’s last 10 starts and believe it or not, it’s happened in 3 of Freeland’s last 4 starts.
I like Schwellenbach to keep the Rockies offense in check while the Braves take care of business against Freeland on Sunday afternoon.
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