Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Kansas City Royals (65-54) and Minnesota Twins (66-52) meet Tuesday as they continue an AL Central set in Minneapolis. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 6-2

Kansas City lost Monday’s series lid-lifter 8-3, and the Royals are 2-4 over their last 6 games.

The Twins broke free from some recent struggles at the plate Monday. Over their 7 previous games, they had filed a .671 OPS.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. Undecided

Lugo (13-6, 2.72 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 155 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 6-5 loss vs. Boston Red Sox last Tuesday
• Career vs. Twins: 1-0, 1.73 ERA (26.0 IP, 5 ER), 20 H, 9 BB, 19 K in 4 starts
• Current Minnesota batters own an aggregate .782 OPS against him, per ESPN

Rookie RHP Zebby Matthews is a possibility for the Twins. The 24-year-old, owner of a combined-levels 2.60 ERA in the minors this season, would be making his MLB debut.

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-200) | Twins -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Royals 4

Kansas City is 2-17 in its last 19 games in Minnesota. Overall, the Royals are 1-4 over their last 5 games against the Twins.

Minnesota is 7-2 in its last 9 games at Target Field.

The pitching is a question mark here, but the Royals don’t have the support to back up their .546 winning percentage. Lugo, who has benefitted from a low .260 batting average on balls in play, is a fade candidate on the K.C. side, and the Twins have the better bullpen.

There is some value on MINNESOTA (-130).

PASS: Better relative value can be found on the Moneyline.

The Over has cashed in 6 straight Kansas City games and in 4 of the last 6 Royals-Twins meetings.

This pitching combo, the way the Twins have hit Lugo and a warmed-up evening in Minneapolis make for a moderate lean on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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