Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (63-56) and San Francisco Giants (61-61) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Oracle Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 3-2

The Braves have beaten the Giants by 1 run in back-to-back 10-inning games. After taking the Monday opener 1-0 as -108 favorites, the Braves won 4-3 as -101 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday — the Under cashed in both meetings. C Travis d’Arnaud hit a solo shot in the 3rd inning Tuesday and drove in the go-ahead run in the 10th with an infield single.

Giants SS Tyler Fitzgerald tried to lay down a bunt to lead off the bottom of the 10th, but was called for batter’s interference. San Francisco was unable to advance its automatic runner, as 1B Lamonte Wade Jr. and CF Heliot Ramos each flied out for the final 2 outs of the game. The Giants have lost 3 straight, all at home.

Braves at Giants projected starters

RHP Grant Holmes vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Holmes (0-0, 3.79 ERA) makes his 4th start and 14th appearance. The 28-year-old rookie has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 38 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 6-5 setback at Colorado Rockies Friday
• 2024 road stats: 0-0, 4.15 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 6 appearances (2 starts)
• Career vs. Giants: 0-0, 1 home relief appearance (July 4), 2 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-2 setback

Ray (2-1, 3.98 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 in 20 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Friday
• 2024 home stats: 0-1, 5.23 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.74 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 2 starts
• Career vs. Braves: 1-3, 4.85 ERA (39 IP, 21 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 7 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:09 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-210) | Giants -1.5 (+170)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Braves at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Braves 3

The GIANTS (-125) haven’t lost 4 straight games at Oracle Park since a 4-game home skid May 29-June 2 (1 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies and 3 vs. the New York Yankees). It’s unlikely that the Braves with Holmes on the mound will hand San Francisco a 4th straight loss, as they’re 0-3 in his 3 starts.

Ray, on the other hand, has been profitable for bettors since returning from last year’s Tommy John surgery. San Francisco is 3-1 in his starts this season, with the 2021 AL Cy Young winner allowing 2 runs or fewer in each victory.

BET GIANTS (-125).

After back-to-back 1-run games, Atlanta +1.5 (-210) seems like the safer choice, but there’s too much vig in this line to recommend a play.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Ray has allowed 2 ER in back-to-back starts, and the Giants are the 4th-best Under bet in MLB this season, hitting Unders at a 27-16-1 (62.8%) clip. Ray will probably give up fewer than 3 runs, and San Francisco’s offense has underperformed lately, scoring 4 or fewer in 4 straight games.

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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