Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

The Minnesota Twins (68-53) and Texas Rangers (56-66) meet Friday for the 2nd game of their 4-game series in Arlington, Texas. First pitch from Globe Life Field is at 8:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Twins opened the series Thursday night with a 3-2 win, their 3rd victory in the last 4 games. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but 10-5 in their last 15.

The Rangers have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are 5-14 in their last 19 games.

Twins at Rangers projected starters

RHP Simeon Woods-Richardson vs. LHP Andrew Heaney

Woods-Richardson (3-3, 3.78 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 102 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2-1 home loss to Cleveland Guardians on Saturday
• Has not won a decision since June 26 (7 starts)
• Making 1st career appearance vs. Rangers

Heaney (4-12, 4.05 ERA) makes his 24th start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 120 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-7 road loss to New York Yankees on Sunday
• Is 0-2 with 6.30 ERA in last 4 starts
• Has 1-0 record with 2.83 ERA in 6 career games (5 starts) vs. Twins

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Twins at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rangers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+165) | Rangers +1.5 (-225)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Twins at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5. Rangers 3

The Rangers lost the series opener on Thursday after a win to close out their previous series on Wednesday. Only once since June 11 have they not lost at least 2 consecutive games without winning. In the Twins’ last 15 games, they have won no fewer than 2 consecutive games before losing a game.

The Rangers are 8-16 in Heaney’s games.

I like the Twins to win outright and the moneyline is a good bet, but there is more money to be made on the run line.

PASS.

The Twins had a 1-run win in the opener. Their previous 11 wins were all by at least 2 runs.

Eleven of the Rangers’ 12 losses prior to Thursday were by at least 2 runs. They have not had consecutive 1-run losses all season.

BET TWINS -1.5 (+165).

All 4 of their meetings this season have stayed Under 9 runs. Four of the Twins’ last 6 games have not reached 9 total runs while 6 of the Rangers’ last 8 games have had at least 9 total runs.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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