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Edmonton Elks at Hamilton Tiger-Cats odds, picks and predictions
By Kevin Erickson,
2024-08-17
The Edmonton Elks (2-7) and Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-7) meet Saturday for a Week 11 battle at Tim Hortons Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network/TSN/CFL+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Elks vs. Tiger-Catsodds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.
The Elks picked up a 33-16 win over the visiting BC Lions in Week 10, cashing as 1-point underdogs. Edmonton has come alive with 2 straight wins and covers after opening the season 0-7 straight up (SU).
The offense is a big part of the resurgence for Edmonton, averaging 34.3 points per game (PPG) across the past 3 outings. The 16 points allowed against the Lions also marked a season best for the Elks defense.
On the road, Edmonton is still just 1-3 SU, but it is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) while splitting the Over/Under 2-2 in those 4 road outings.
The Tiger-Cats haven’t had a lot of success, but their most recent win in Week 8 was a 44-28 victory in Edmonton as 3-point underdogs as the Over (51) easily cashed. Hamilton has scored 22 or more points in 5 of the past 6 games, but it has allowed at least 28 points in 3 straight outings.
HAMILTON (-102) is worth playing as the slight underdogs at home.
The Tiger-Cats won the 1st meeting in Edmonton (-118) in Week 8. In that meeting, the Elks removed an ineffective QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who was just 10 of 22 for 85 yards with 1 INT before QB Tre Ford came on for a spark. The latter was 10 of 15 for 121 yards, 3 TDs and 19 rush yards. However, Ford is likely out with a chest injury, so MBT is back.
The Tiger-Cats are a good bet in the Hammer in this battle of 2-7 clubs.
If you’re not quite sold on HAMILTON +1.5 (-115) straight up, and believe Edmonton -1.5 (-105) can win but only by 1 point, then take the Ti-Cats with the points. However, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room.
The Ti-Cats are a much better value straight up on the moneyline.
UNDER 52.5 (-105) is the play, but be careful. The last time these teams met in Week 8, we had 72 combined points.
However, the Under has cashed in each of the past 2 games at home for Hamilton, averaging just 21.5 PPG while allowing 28.5 PPG.
For Edmonton, the Under cashed last week in a win over the BC Lions, as the defense allowed a season-low 16 points. In addition, the D limited the Lions to just 6 points in the final 3 quarters, including scoreless 2nd and 4th quarters. BC was only able to muster 105 rushing yards, and most of its damage came in the return game, or the contest might have been even more lopsided.
Edmonton has struggled in the pass game, averaging just 270.2 yards per game, which is 7th in the CFL. Defensively, it has hemorrhaged yards, allowing 396.1 total yards per game, worst in the league. However, it has made some strides lately.
Hamilton has the No. 1 offense, in terms of total yards per game (393.4) and passing yards (321.3), but it’s off-balance, with just 72.1 rushing yards per game, which is worst in the CFL. Defensively, the Ti-Cats are just so-so.
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