New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

The New York Yankees (73-51) and Detroit Tigers (60-64) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday in the Little League Classic. First pitch from Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pa., is scheduled for 7: 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 4-1

After taking the Friday opener 3-0, the Yankees were shut out 4-0 Saturday, snapping a 3-game winning streak. They are 13-6 in their last 19 games.

The Tigers have won 5 of their last 6 games and snapped a 4-game losing streak against the Yankees with Saturday’s win.

Yankees vs. Tigers projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. LHP Tarik Skubal

Stroman (8-6, 4.01 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 121 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 8-7 home victory over Texas Rangers Aug. 11
• 2024 vs. Tigers: 0-0, 1 home start (May 3), 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 2-1 victory
• Career vs. Tigers: 2-1, 1.74 ERA (41 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 6 starts

Skubal (14-4, 2.53 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 149 1/3 innings.

• Leads MLB in wins, ERA, and strikeouts
• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 15-1 home victory over Seattle Mariners Tuesday
• 2024 vs. Yankees: 0-0, 1 road start (May 5), 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 5-2 defeat in 8 innings (rain-shortened)
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-2, 3.43 ERA (21 IP, 8 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 4 starts

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Yankees vs. Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Tigers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-210) | Tigers -1.5 (+170)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Yankees vs. Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 4, Yankees 3

The Yankees are an MLB-best 41-24 away from home this season. They have won 4 straight series away from Yankee Stadium.

The Tigers are 16-8 in Skubal’s starts and have won 4 of his last 5 outings.

The Tigers are playing good baseball right now, allowing 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games.

BET TIGERS (-125).

Three of the Tigers’ last 5 wins have been by only 1 run.

The Yankees are 17-3 ATS as underdogs away from home.

But betting the Yankees to cover +1.5 at -210 doesn’t give you any value.

PASS.

Four of the 5 meetings between these teams this season have ended with 7 or fewer total runs (the outlier had 8). Nine of the Tigers’ last 12 games have not reached 8 total runs.

Three of the Yankees’ last 4 games have stayed under 8.

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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