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The FedExCup playoffs roll on this week with the 2024 BMW Championship , which is being held at Castle Pines Golf Club in Colorado for the 1st time. The course is located just outside Denver, a spectacular location for a PGA Tour event.
Below, we search for the best value prop bets from BetMGM Sportsbook among the 2024 BMW Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions .
Scottie Scheffler comes in as the betting favorite once again, ranking 1st in the current FedExCup standings. Xander Schauffele , Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy are also among the favorites to win in Colorado. With only 50 players in the field, there is no cut and only the top 30 advance to the Tour Championship next week.
Castle Pines previously hosted The International on the PGA Tour from 1986-2006 but it hasn’t had a tour event since then. Therefore, there isn’t a lot of course history for players teeing it up this week. It’s 8,130 yards long and a par 72, but being at 6,200 feet of elevation, the ball will travel much further. As a result, the course will play closer to 7,300 yards.
BMW Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:04 p.m. ET.
Xander Schauffele (+100)
Schauffele has 8 top-5 finishes this season, putting together the best year of his career thus far. The playing field is relatively even this week at a course that hasn’t hosted the PGA Tour in almost 20 years, which should put an added emphasis on the best ball-strikers.
Collin Morikawa (+225)
Morikawa had an off week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship last week, struggling with his ball-striking but performing well on the greens with his putter. If he can bounce back with his ball-striking and say hot with his putter, he’ll be in contention on Sunday.
BMW Championship – Top-10 picks
Tony Finau (+180)
Finau has been on a tear as of late, finishing 18th or better in 7 of his last 8 starts. He ranked 12th in the field last week from tee to green, showcasing the iron play that has made him one of the game’s best ball-strikers right now.
Aaron Rai (+250)
Rai followed up a win at the Wyndham Championship by finishing 16th in Memphis last week, staying hot following his 1st career victory on the PGA Tour. There’s no reason to think he can’t keep playing well in Colorado.
Viktor Hovland (+130)
Hovland showed very few signs of turning things around prior to his runner-up at the FedEx St. Jude last week but his performance over the weekend was enough to warrant consideration this week. He’s typically a top-tier iron player, which is often the great equalizer at unfamiliar courses.
BMW Championship – Top-20 picks
Nick Dunlap (+120)
Dunlap has had an insanely impressive rookie year, winning twice already – once as an amateur and once as a pro. His odds are predictably long this week but he’s worthy of taking for a top-20. In a 50-player field, a top-20 is finishing just higher than the top half, something that’s very doable for him.
Taylor Pendrith (+120)
Another long shot, Pendrith is +120 for a top-20, including ties. That’s a great value on a guy who’s finished 5th, 5th and 22nd in his last 3 starts. He hits it long and while he doesn’t have the best ball-striking numbers, he’s 12th on tour in SG: putting this season.
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BMW Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold .
Xander Schauffele (+135) vs. Scottie Scheffler (-165)
There are very few golfers who have beaten Schauffele in the last 4 months, and even fewer who have edged out Scheffler. However, this line is too heavily skewed toward Scheffler, given the way Schauffele has been playing.
Aaron Rai (-105) vs. Russell Henley (-120)
Rai and Henley are both very good ball strikers but Rai is in better form right now after winning the Wyndham Championship. I’ll take the underdog, even if Henley is only slightly favored to finish higher.
BMW Championship – Top Continental European
Viktor Hovland (+200)
There are 7 continental Europeans teeing it up this week, with Hovland being the slight favorite over Ludvig Aberg (+225). With no course history to go off of, it’s better to just back the player who’s in more impressive form.
BMW Championship – First-round leader
Xander Schauffele (+1100)
Schauffele usually comes out firing and posts a good number on Thursday, mostly because of his ability to avoid bogeys and mistakes on the course. He ranks 2nd in Round 1 scoring average (68.0) this season.
Tony Finau (+2800)
Finau’s scoring average gets progressively worse with each round, ranking 14th on tour in 1st-round scoring (69.1) compared to 85th in 4th-round scoring average (70).
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For more sports betting picks and tips , check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW .
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2024 BMW Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions
2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship final-round odds, golfers to watch
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