Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (73-52) visit the Atlanta Braves (67-58) Wednesday. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-2

The Phillies have lost back-to-back games after falling 3-1 at the Braves Tuesday as -150 favorites. C J.T. Realmuto drove in the team’s only run, while RHP Zack Wheeler allowed 2 ER in 6 innings and picked up the loss.

The Braves have won 3 games in a row after Tuesday’s victory as +138 home underdogs. DH Marcell Ozuna hit a solo shot for Atlanta, which has won 6 of its last 8 games.

Phillies at Braves projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Max Fried

Nola (11-6, 3.45 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 154 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win against Washington Nationals Friday
• Career vs. Braves (regular season): 16-11, 3.61 ERA (217 IP, 87 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 35 starts, including 1-1 with 7.84 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 2 starts this year

Fried (7-7, 3.62 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 121 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-0 loss at San Francisco Giants Thursday
• Career vs. Phillies (regular season): 4-5, 4.17 ERA (86 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 21 appearances (15 starts), including 0-1 with 10.80 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 2 starts this season

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Phillies at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Braves +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Phillies at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

BET BRAVES ( -110 ).

Atlanta has won 3 games in a row and is 5-2 in the season series against Philadelphia. It has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 8 games while scoring 3 or more in 5 of its last 7. Philadelphia has dropped back-to-back games while scoring 4 runs or fewer in 3 of its last 4.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS .

There is no value on the Braves’ run line.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 ( -115 ).

The Phillies have scored 4 runs or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games and allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. They have hit the Under in 3 of their last 4 contests.

The Braves have scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games and allowed 3 or fewer in 7 of their last 8, including 4 straight.

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