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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions
By Ethan Matthew,
11 hours ago
The Toronto Blue Jays (65-69) and the Boston Red Sox (68-64) meet Wednesday to continue their 5-game series (including a makeup game). First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Soxodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 5-3
Boston ended its 4-game losing streak Tuesday with a 6-3 victory behind some early offense. CF Jarren Duran led off with a HR and DH Masataka Yoshida’s singled in 2 more in the 1st inning. The Red Sox scored 3 runs in the 5th to take control.
Toronto left 9 runners on base, compared to Boston’s 4, as the Red Sox won as -135 home favorites. The Under (9.5) also hit.
Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Bassitt (9-12, 4.41 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 145 IP.
Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-4 home win against Los Angeles Angels Friday.
2024 road stats: 3-5, 3.90 ERA (60 IP, 26 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 11 starts
Is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in last 5 starts vs. Red Sox
Bello (11-6, 4.95 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 129 IP.
Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 12-2 home loss against Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
2024 home stats: 4-4, 5.54 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 12 starts
is 2-3 with a 6.94 ERA in last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 9, Red Sox 4
The Red Sox are struggling to get the home field-advantage you would expect with a team with a winning record. They are just 30-37 (44.8%) in Fenway Park. And as a home favorite, the Red Sox post an even worse 20-29 record (40.8%).
Coming off a loss, Toronto usually bounces back with a record of 37-31 (54.4%). You can get them at plus money, which is a great value.
BET BLUE JAYS (+120).
While I like Toronto straight up and to cover this, I don’t like them at a -175 run line. PASS and stick with the moneyline.
In division games the Red Sox go Over 60% of the time (18-12-4), while the Blue Jays post the 2nd-highest Over rate at 65.9% (29-15). After going Under on Tuesday, the Over is the smart pick on Wednesday.
LEAN OVER 9.5 (-105).
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