San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

The San Francisco Giants (67-67) and Milwaukee Brewers (76-56) meet for the finale of a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Milwaukee beat San Francisco 5-3 Wednesday as a -162 home favorite. The Brewers scored 5 runs in the 5th inning to go up 5-0 before allowing the Giants to score 3, but they were able to escape the late scare.

RHP Freddy Peralta was credited with the win as he pitched 6 scoreless innings, allowing only 2 hits and 3 walks with 8 K’s. The win snapped a 2-game skid for Milwaukee, while the Giants have lost 2 of their last 3.

Giants at Brewers projected starters

RHP Hayden Birdsong vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Birdsong (3-3, 4.57 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 45 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-5 setback at Seattle Mariners Friday
• Has never faced Brewers

Civale (4-8, 4.84 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 128 1/3 innings with the Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 11-3 victory at Oakland A’s Friday
• Career vs. San Francisco: 1-1, 2.70 ERA (10 IP, 3 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Giants at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-200) | Brewers -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Giants at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 7, Giants 6

LEAN BREWERS (-135).

Milwaukee is 3-1 in its last 4 home games and 6-4 in its last 10 overall, while the Giants are only 5-5 in their last 10 overall and 2-3 in their last 5 on the road.

The Brewers have also won 2 of the 3 meetings between these teams.

This is a lean because San Francisco is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.

PASS.

In a game where each team is so evenly matched, I always recommend betting on the underdog, in this case San Francisco, to cover. However, with the line set at +1.5 (-200), the Giants are favored far too heavily to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

The Over is 3-1-1 in Milwaukee’s last 5 games and 4-0-2 in San Francisco’s last 6. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meetings.

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