Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (77-58) and Colorado Rockies (50-85) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 2-1 in 2023

The Orioles are coming off a 2-1 series loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers. They wrapped up the series with back-to-back losses, including a 6-3 defeat as +125 underdogs in the Thursday finale with the Over (8.5) hitting. They trail the AL East-leading New York Yankees by 1½ games and are in the top AL Wild Card spot.

The Rockies are 3-6 in their last 9, but opened their current 7-game homestand with a 4-game series split against the Miami Marlins. They alternated wins and losses in the series, losing 12-8 in the Thursday finale as the Over (11.5) easily cashed. Colorado owns the 2nd-worst record in the NL.

Orioles at Rockies projected starters

RHP Albert Suarez vs. LHP Austin Gomber

Suarez (6-4, 3.18 ERA) makes his 19th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 102 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home victory over Houston Astros Saturday
• Is 1-0 with 1.85 ERA in 5 August starts
• Career vs. Rockies: 0-1, 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 4.8 K/9 in 4 appearances (1 start)

Gomber (4-9, 4.70 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 138 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 10-3 road loss to New York Mets Sunday
• Quality starts in 4 of last 6 outings
• Has never faced Orioles

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Orioles -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Rockies +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+105) | Rockies +1.5 (-125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Orioles at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 5, Orioles 4

The Orioles are 38-28 in away games this season, but the Rockies are a much better team at home than on the road. Of their 50 wins, 31 have been at home. They are 5-1-1 in their last 7 home series.

The Orioles have lost 3 of their last 4 road series.

Gomber has 4 quality starts (3 or fewer runs, 6+ IP) in his last 6 outings.

Go for the upset Friday.

BET ROCKIES (+120).

The Rockies’ last 5 covers have been outright wins. They are 35-29 ATS at home.

The Orioles, though, are 40-26 ATS on the road this season, but that becomes a less stellar 23-20 ATS as road favorites.

But with the plus odds on the moneyline for the Rockies, that is a better bet than the spread.

PASS.

Two of the Rockies’ 4 games in their last home series surpassed 11 total runs.

Only 1 of Baltimore’s last 8 games has reached 11 total runs.

Five of Gomber’s last 6 starts have stayed under 11 total runs.

BET UNDER 11 (-105).

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