St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

The St. Louis Cardinals (69-69) and Milwaukee Brewers (81-57) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday at American Family Field at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-3

The Cards were pounded 9-3 by the Brewers Monday as they allowed 8 walks and 3 homers. C Pedro Pages did his part by hitting 2 homers, but the pitching staff was atrocious. The Cards are 5½ out of a Wild Card spot.

The Brewers have won 6 of 7, thanks in part. LF Jackson Chourio delivered the big blow Monday with a grand slam. They’ve won 20 of 30 to open a 10-game lead over the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central. They’ve also dominated the NL Central at 30-17.

Cardinals at Brewers projected starters

LHP Steven Matz vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Matz (1-2, 6.18 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP. The 10-year veteran was activated off the 60-day IL after missing 4 months with back issues

• Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 11-6 loss at Detroit Tigers April 30
• Career vs. Brewers: 5-2, 2.89 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 8 games (7 starts)
• Last 5 regular-season starts vs. Brewers: 4-1, 2.43 ERA (29 2/3, 8 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 21 K

Civale (5-8, 4.59 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 135 1/3 IP with Tampa Bay Rays and Brewers. Since his July 3 trade to Milwaukee, the Northeastern University product is 3-2 with a 3.72 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9, 8.0 K/9 in 9 starts.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 6-0 home victory vs. San Francisco Giants Thursday
• Career vs. Cardinals: 1 road start for Cleveland, loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-2 setback Aug. 30, 2020

Who’s going yard ? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:11 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML) : Cardinals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Brewers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Cardinals +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U) : 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Cardinals at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Cardinals 3

Moneyline

The Brewers have dominated the Cardinals the last 2 years, going 16-8 against them. Matz is making his first start since April, and the moderate favorites are the way to go here.

TAKE BREWERS (- 150 ).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS since we’re backing the Brewers ML.

Meanwhile, 1B Rhys Hoskins hit his 23rd homer of the season Monday. He has 4 career hits against Matz in 23 at-bats, and 3 of them left the ballpark.

LET’S TAKE RHYS HOSKINS OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+ 115 ).

Over/Under

We’re slated to have a 72-degree evening with a 9-mph gust blowing in from right-center. I trust the Brewers to score 5, but I don’t trust the Cards to score more than 3 in order to cash an Over. They’ve scored more than 3 runs just twice in the last 9 meetings with Milwaukee.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (- 115 ).

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