UFC Fight Night 242 predictions: Who's picking Gilbert Burns to upset Sean Brady?

The UFC is back in its home base this week with welterweights at the top of the lineup, plus a former women’s champion in the co-main event.

UFC Fight Night 242 (ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC Fight Night 242.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Yanal Ashmouz vs. Trevor Peek

Records: Ashmouz (7-1 MMA, 1-1 UFC), Peek (9-2 MMA, 2-2 UFC)

Past five: Ashmouz 4-1, Peek 3-2

Division: Lightweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Ashmouz +100, Peek -120

Junkie pick results: Peek 10, Ashmouz 1

Cody Durden vs. Matt Schnell

Records: Durden (16-6-1 MMA, 5-4-1 UFC), Schnell (16-8 MMA, 6-6 UFC)

Past five: Durden 3-2, Schnell 2-3

Division: Flyweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Durden -280, Schnell +225

Junkie pick results: Schnell 6, Durden 5

Steve Garcia vs. Kyle Nelson

Records: Garcia (16-5 MMA, 5-2 UFC), Nelson (16-5-1 MMA, 4-4-1 UFC)

Past five: Garcia 4-1, Nelson 3-1-1

Division: Featherweight

Rankings: None

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Garcia -185, Nelson +165

Junkie pick results: Garcia 10, Nelson 1

Jessica Andrade vs. Natalia Silva

Records: Andrade (26-12 MMA, 17-10 UFC), Silva (17-5-1 MMA, 5-0 UFC)

Past five: Andrade 2-3, Silva 5-0

Division: Women’s flyweight

Rankings: Silva No. 12, Andrade No. 5 women’s strawweight

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Andrade +250, Silva -310

Junkie pick results: Andrade 8, Silva 3

Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady

Records: Burns (22-7 MMA, 15-7 UFC), Brady (16-1 MMA, 6-1 UFC)

Past five: Burns 2-3, Brady 4-1

Division: Welterweight

Rankings: Burns No. 7, Brady No. 9

Odds (as of 09.07.24): Burns +155, Brady -185

Junkie pick results: Brady 8, Burns 3

Preliminary card picks

Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

• Chris Padilla vs. Rong Zhu: Padilla 7, Zhu 4
• Isaac Dulgarian vs. Brendon Marotte: Dulgarian 11, Marotte 0
• Felipe dos Santos vs. Andre Lima: Lima 6, dos Santos 5
• Gabriel Santos vs. Yi Zha: Santos 7, Zha 4
• Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos: Demopoulos 6, Amorim 5
• Dylan Budka vs. Andre Petroski: Petroski 11, Budka 0
• Nathan Fletcher vs. Zygimantas Ramaska: Fletcher 8, Ramaska 3

Check out all the main card picks below.

UFC Fight Night 242 main card picks

Burns

vs.

Brady

Andrade

vs.

Silva

Garcia

vs.

Nelson

Durden

vs.

Schnell

Ashmouz

vs.

Peek

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for 2024 PFL Playoffs 3.