Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Los Angeles Angels (60-85) and Minnesota Twins (77-68) meet Wednesday as they close out a 3-game series in Minneapolis. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-1

Minnesota banged out 3 HRs and won Tuesday’s game 10-5 after losing 6-2 on Monday. Three of the Twins’ 4 wins against Los Angeles this season have come by margins of 5 runs or more.

The Angels are 2-4 on a road trip that opened Friday against the Texas Rangers. Since Aug. 9, Los Angeles is just 5-14 outside Orange County.

Angels at Twins projected starters

RHP Jack Kochanowicz vs. RHP Zebby Matthews

Kochanowicz (2-4, 4.89 ERA) makes his 8th career start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 2.8 K/9 in 38 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 3-1 loss at Texas Rangers Thursday
• Has never faced the Twins

Matthews (1-3, 7.36 ERA) is making his 6th career start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 22 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-0 loss at Kansas City Royals Friday
• Has never faced the Angels

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Angels at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Angels +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Twins -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-125) | Twins -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Angels at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Angels 3

The hold is hard to beat here. PASS and look to leverage a Twins advantage on the run line.

The Halos have lost 6 games since Aug. 30; 5 of those have been by multiple runs.

Ten hits (including 3 round-trippers) and 4 walks were a good sign for the Twins offense, one that has had its struggles of late.

Peg Matthews as pitching significantly better so far than what shows in his Boeing ERA. The rookie righty has been undone by a .366 batting average on balls in play.

In his rookie hurler duel, Matthews is backed by the better bullpen. BACK THE TWINS -1.5 (+105).

Both clubs have similar profiles of being undervalued on the pitching/defense side of the equation. Analytics peg both the Angels and Twins as having yielded more runs than what would be expected.

With Matthews projected to be a solid contributor to an Under, and with both offenses having plenty of lackluster games up close in the rearview mirror, the UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the value play.

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