St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

The St. Louis Cardinals (74-72) take on the Toronto Blue Jays (69-78) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Rogers Centre at 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cardinals vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; St. Louis won 2-1 last year

The Cards took 2 of 3 from the Cincinnati Reds with a 6-1 final Thursday. RHP Sonny Gray was perfect through 5 innings before the Reds broke through in the 6th. He struck out 9 in 6 IP. Rookie SS Masyn Winn hit his 13th homer of the season.

The Jays dropped 2 of 3 to the New York Mets with a 6-2 final Wednesday. 2B Spencer Horwitz is on fire, hitting .432 with 4 homers and 9 RBIs in the last 15 days. They have lost 7 of 10 in what has been a lost season that opened with such promise.

Cardinals at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Kevin Gausman

Fedde (8-9, 3.39 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 159 1/3 innings with the Chicago White Sox and Cardinals

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 6-1 home defeat Sept. 6 against Seattle Mariners
• 4 career starts vs. Jays: 2-1, 4.87 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 13 K in 20 1/3 IP

Gausman (12-11, 4.09 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 163 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-1 setback Sept. 6 at Atlanta Braves
• Career vs. St. Louis: (10 games, 6 starts) 1-5, 3.43 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 52 K in 39 1/3 IP

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Cardinals at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Cardinals at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Cardinals 2

Fedde faced the Jays while with the White Sox May 20 and allowed 5 ER in 6 IP. Though they’ve fallen on hard times, I look for a similar return from the Jays’ offense. The Cardinals have trouble holding on runners and pitch to contact far too much.

Take the BLUE JAYS -135.

We mentioned in the opening how insanely well Horwitz is hitting. Fedde gives up contact. Take SPENCER HORWITZ OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIS (-125).

Both teams are 4-5-1 O/U in their last 10. I look for Gausman to shut the Cards down and strike out a bunch. Unless they can score 3 or more, I look for this UNDER 8 (-105) to hit.

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