Georgia at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

The Georgia Bulldogs (2-0, 0-0 SEC) travel to meet the Kentucky Wildcats (1-1, 0-1) Saturday at Kroger Field in Lexington, Ky. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Georgia vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The top-ranked Bulldogs play their 1st true road game of the season in the SEC opener. Georgia roughed up a ranked Clemson team 34-3 on a neutral field in Atlanta on Aug. 31, easily covering a 10.5-point spread as the Under (50) cashed. Then, the Dawgs thrashed FCS Tennessee Tech 48-3 last Saturday, failing to cover as a 54.5-point favorite as the Under (68.5) again hit.

The Wildcats opened with a 31-0 win over Southern Miss to cover as 24.5-point number in the opener as the Under (49) cashed, but it was annihilated at home in the conference opener by South Carolina, falling 31-6 as a 9.5-point favorite as the Under (40.5) again cashed.

Georgia has won 14 straight in this series dating back to Nov. 21, 2009, and Kentucky has won at home against the Dawgs since Nov. 4, 2006. QB Brock Vandagriff, who played for UGA on the 2021 and 2022 national title teams, was 3 1/2 the last time the Wildcats beat the Dawgs at home.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Georgia at Kentucky odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Georgia -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100) | Kentucky +1250 (bet $100 to win $1,250)
• Against the spread (ATS): Georgia -23.5 (-105) | Kentucky +23.5 (-115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Georgia at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Georgia 38, Kentucky 17

Georgia (-3000) will cost you 30 times your potential return, which means you’d need to risk $100 for every $3.33 won. It shouldn’t need to be said, but there is no value in betting such heavy favorites, no matter how certain a victory looks to be.

PASS.

Although KENTUCKY +23.5 (-115) was hot garbage last week, and it struggled to move the ball, this is a rivalry game, and teams tend to bring their best when facing the best.

Kentucky suffered just a 16-6 loss against Georgia in the most recent game in Lexington Nov. 19, 2022, and while the Wildcats haven’t been the Dawgs in a while, they are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 meetings.

The concern is that Georgia -23.5 (-105) is nasty on defense, so UK needs to be much better than it was last week when South Carolina moved the ball well on the ground against it.

OVER 44.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

While Georgia’s defense is strong, as usual, it wouldn’t be surprising in the least to see the Dawgs do the heavy lifting and get this one across the finish line with little help from the Wildcats.

While the Under is 2-0 for both teams to date, this is an awfully low number.

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