New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

The New York Yankees (87-63) and Seattle Mariners (77-73) meet Tuesday as they open a 3-game series. The 1st pitch from T-Mobile Park will be at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

New York is on the road after taking 3 of 4 from the Boston Red Sox Thursday-Sunday. The Yankees are 4-1 over their last 5 games, but are just 4-7 across their last 11 road tilts.

The Mariners — just 6-14 over their last 20 home games against New York — head into this game off winning Friday, Saturday and Sunday against the Texas Rangers. Seattle is 12-4 across its last 16 games at T-Mobile.

Yankees at Mariners projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Gil (13-6, 3.18 ERA) is lined up for his 27th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 135 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 win vs. Kansas City Royals Wednesday
• Career vs. Mariners: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 4 BB, 16 K in 2 starts

Woo (8-2, 2.38 ERA) is making his 20th start. He owns a 0.82 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 105 2/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-2 win vs. San Diego Padres Wednesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 2-0, 0.00 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 2 starts

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Yankees at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Yankees 4

New York has struggled of late on the road, and Seattle has been a groove on home turf. Enter Woo, who has registered a 1.66 ERA, 0.64 WHIP at T-Mobile this season, and Seattle is in green check-mark territory.

More green check marks are forthcoming.

The Mariners have underplayed their 4.11 runs per game and 3.76 RPG allowed. They should probably have an overall record similar to that of the Yanks, so they figure to be undervalued.

New York tends to be careful with Gil, who is up against some usage limits based on previous season work. That could expose Yankee relievers, and that’s an Achilles heal for the visiting nine.

Woo registered a free-and-easy 6 innings against New York on May 21 (scoreless on 2 hits, 0 BB, 7K). Woo’s indicators have been strong in the 2nd half.

TAKE THE MARINERS (-105).

The tags here have a higher hold, and the true odds are likely locked up between these prices. PASS.

The last 7 Seattle games have seen the Over go 5-2.

Peg both starters as being good ones with each allowing no runs in 2 starts against their opponent, but with fade-worthy leans. Especially with a low total, their combined yield put this bet in Over territory.

Seattle owns a robust .858 OPS over its last 11 games. A perceived Yankees slowdown is largely due to coming up empty in too many high-leverage situations.

BACK THE OVER 7 (-105).

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