BYU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

The No. 22 BYU Cougars (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) have their 1st conference road game on Saturday, facing the Baylor Bears (2-2, 0-1). Kickoff is at noon ET from McLane Stadium (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the BYU vs. Baylor odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

BYU has started the season strong and had a huge upset win at home last weekend, beating the No. 25 Kansas State Wildcats 38-9 as 7.5-point underdogs. They have allowed 12.8 points per game so far this season to rank 18th nationally.

Baylor is coming off a 38-31 overtime loss to the Colorado Buffaloes. The Bears failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, although they had a touchdown lead until Colorado tied the score at the end of regulation with a Hail Mary pass.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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BYU at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 9:49 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): BYU +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Baylor -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): BYU +3.5 (-115) | Baylor -3.5 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

BYU at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

BYU 27, Baylor 24

BYU’s defense has been tremendous so far. Allowing only 12.8 points per game and 269 yards per game, they forced 3 turnovers against Kansas State leading to the blowout upset win despite allowing 228 rushing yards in the game.

The Cougars have also scored 34 or more in 3 of their 4 games this season.

Baylor’s only game against a ranked opponent was a 23-12 road loss to the No. 10 Utah Utes.

BET BYU (+140).

BYU is 4-0 ATS this season and have won all 4 games outright. Baylor is 3-1 ATS and 2-0 ATS in games in which they are favored.

But expecting a BYU straight-up win as underdogs for plus odds, there is no need to bet the spread here.

PASS.

Baylor has had 2 games surpass 46 total points, including last week’s 38-31 loss. BYU has only had 1 game not reach 47 total points.

BET OVER 46.5 (-115).

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