New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

The New Orleans Saints (2-1) and Atlanta Falcons (1-2) face off in an NFC South battle Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Saints vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New Orleans suffered a 15-12 loss at the hands of the visiting Philadelphia Eagles Sept. 22 while failing to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. For the 1st time this season, New Orleans’ offense was shut down, as it only gained 219 total yards after picking up over 375 in each of its first 2 games.

Atlanta was beaten 22-17 by the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football while failing to cover as a 3-point home underdog. The Falcons were dominated 34:57 to 25:03 in the time of possession battle and outscored 10-3 in the 2nd half.

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Saints at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Friday at 7:23 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Saints +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Falcons -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Saints +3 (-115) | Falcons -3 (-105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Saints at Falcons key injuries

Saints

• LB Demario Davis (hamstring) questionable
• RB Alvin Kamara (hip/ribs) questionable
• C Erik McCoy (groin) out
• WR A.T. Perry (hamstring) questionable
• RG Cesar Ruiz (knee) questionable
• WR Cedrick Wilson Jr. (ankle) questionable

Falcons

• LB Matthew Judon (hamstring) questionable
• OT Kaleb McGary (knee) questionable
• RB Bijan Robinson (shoulder) questionable

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Saints at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 17, Saints 15

BET FALCONS (-150).

Atlanta has played stiff competition to start its season and looked solid in its last 2 games, but I expect the Falcons to look even better this week because of the desperation of not wanting to start 1-3. If Robinson plays, the Falcons will be able to ride their defense and run game to victory.

LEAN SAINTS +3 (-115).

This will be a defensive battle, and New Orleans has looked like the better team to start the season. While I do think the Saints’ offense will look more mortal, like it did last week, it should still be productive enough to keep this one close.

This is a lean because I could see this being decided by a field goal, so the margin for error is extremely small.

BET UNDER 41.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in each of Atlanta’s first 3 games this season and hit in New Orleans’ last outing.

These are both teams that make their name on defense, and with my prediction that the Saints’ offense will continue coming back to Earth, the Under should be an easy play here.

For more sports betting picks and tips

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