The Tigers kicked off the season with 2 non-Power 5 games, both blowout wins. They covered in both and then beat Boston College and Vanderbilt, the former by 6 points and the latter by 3 in overtime, failing to cover as a double-digit favorite in both. Missouri is 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and has scored at least 27 points in all 4 games.
The Aggies, one of the few teams with 5 games under their belt, opened the season with a loss to No. 13 Notre Dame, but they have rattled off 4 wins since. Texas A&M has wins over Arkansas and Florida; however, it is just 1-4 ATS on the season. A&M is 0-3 ATS at home this season as well.
– Rankings:US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Moneyline (ML): Missouri +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Texas A&M -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread: Missouri +2.5 (-115) | Texas A&M -2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Missouri at Texas A&M picks and predictions
Prediction
Missouri 27, Texas A&M 21
BET MISSOURI (+115).
The Tigers have had a few close calls, but they are still undefeated and have scored with ease this season. Missouri’s strength is in the run game, going for north of 200 yards on the ground against Vanderbilt in Week 5. Texas A&M ranks 56th in opponents’ yards per rush attempt, so it might not be able to slow down the Tigers’ run game.
The Aggies have allowed 20 or more points in 3 of 5 games, and they have struggled heavily to cover at home. They are 0-1 at home in games with a single-digit spread. That said, back the Tigers to come out on top, and bet MISSOURI (+115).
PASS.
The moneyline is the better play here, and while the spread is playable, the preferred option here is the plus-money road side.
BET UNDER 48.5 (-110).
Both teams are trending towards the Under in this one. The Tigers have gone Under in 3 of 4 games this season, allowing 21 or fewer points in 3 of the 4. They have allowed a total of 48 points through 4 games.
Given their desire to keep the ball on the ground, they are consistently draining clock as well. The Aggies are 2-3 O/U and have allowed 23 or fewer points in all 5 games. Considering those trends, take UNDER 48.5 (-110).
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