UCLA at Penn State odds, picks and predictions

The UCLA Bruins (1-3, 0-1 Big Ten) and Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0, 1-0) meet Saturday. Kickoff from Beaver Stadium is set for noon ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the UCLA vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

UCLA was demolished 34-13 vs. Oregon Saturday, but covered as a 23.5-point underdog. The Bruins amassed only 172 yards of offense while also turning the ball over twice. The Bruins’ lone TD vs. Oregon came thanks to a 96-yard pick-6.

Penn State, the No. 7 team in the US LBM Coaches Poll, enters following a 21-7 win over the No. 21 Illinois Fighting Illini Saturday. The Nittany Lions failed to cover as 19-point favorites in the win. PSU rushed for 241 yards and 3 TDs vs. Illinois.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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UCLA at Penn State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 9:53 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): UCLA +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800) | Penn State -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): UCLA +27.5 (-110) | Penn State -27.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

UCLA at Penn State picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 27, UCLA 7

PASS.

Penn State will pick up the win as -10000 favorites, but a team this heavily favored is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet the spread and/or O/U instead.

BET UCLA +27.5 (-110).

UCLA has covered as a heavy underdog in each of its last 2 games, both coming vs. high-caliber opponents in Oregon and LSU. On the other hand, Penn State has yet to beat a quality team by 27.5 points this year, so the Bruins are a safe bet to cover here.

This is a risky bet, as UCLA has the worst scoring offense in the Big Ten and the 2nd-worst defense in terms of points allowed, so the potential is there for Penn State to blow UCLA out of the water.

BET UNDER 46.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Penn State and is 3-1 for the Nittany Lions this season. For UCLA, the Under is also 2-0 in its last 2 and 3-1 on the year.

Penn State plays a very Big Ten style of football that revolves around running the ball and defense. Couple that with UCLA’s conference-worst scoring offense, and you’ve got a perfect storm for the Under to hit.

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