NLDS Game 4: LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

The LA Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday for Game 4 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: San Diego leads 2-1

San Diego took the series lead with a 6-5 win over LA on Tuesday while covering as a -143 home favorite. The Padres erupted for a 6-run 2nd inning that was topped off by a 2-run shot from RF Fernando Tatis Jr. that traveled 396 feet.

LF Teoscar Hernandez hit a grand slam that gave San Diego a scare, but it was not enough for the Dodgers to complete the comeback. RHP Walker Buehler took the loss (5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 0 K).

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Dylan Cease

No Dodgers pitcher announced at time of publishing.

Cease (14-11, 3.47 ERA) made 33 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 189 1/3 IP.

• Career vs. Dodgers: 1-1. 2.61 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 18 H, 12 BB, 28 K in 4 starts
• Only career postseason start vs. LA: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-5 home loss the series opener on Saturday
• Career postseason: 0-0, 12.00 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in 6 IP in 3 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:59 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

BET DODGERS (+115).

Los Angeles is simply too good of a team for me to believe it will lose 3-1 in this series. The Dodgers have lost back-to-back games, but prior to that were on a 6-game win streak, and I expect them to get back to their winning ways in this matchup.

Be aware that the Padres have won the last 4 matchups vs. the Dodgers in San Diego.

PASS.

I like the Dodgers to win here and to cover the spread as +1.5 (-200) underdogs, but a line set a7 -200 is not worth the risk to bet on.

I recommend divvying up units between the run line and ML here, placing slightly more on the ML unless you are comfortable betting on this line.

BET OVER 7.5 (-120).

The Over has hit in 4 straight for San Diego overall and 2 straight home games. For LA, the Over is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has hit in 2 of its last 3 games on the road. The Over has also hit in each of the 3 games in this series and is undefeated in the last 4 matchups between these squads.

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