Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats odds, picks and predictions

The Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2, 1-1 SEC) visit the Kentucky Wildcats (3-2, 1-2) Saturday. Kickoff from Kroger Field is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Vanderbilt shocked the nation with a 40-35 win over Alabama Oct. 5 as a 23-point home underdog. QB Diego Pavia went 16 of 20 for 252 yards with 2 TDs, with his top receiver WR Eli Stowers hauling in 6 receptions for 113 yards. On the ground, RB Sedrick Alexander carried the ball 21 times for 64 yards and 2 TDs.

Kentucky upset Ole Miss 20-17 Sept. 28 as a 15.5-point road underdog. QB Brock Vandagriff went 18 of 28 for 243 yards with a TD, with WR Dane Key catching 8 passes for 105 yards and a TD.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Vanderbilt at Kentucky odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Vanderbilt +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Kentucky -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +12.5 (-110) | Kentucky -12.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Vanderbilt at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 27, Vanderbilt 23

PASS.

While Vanderbilt (+375) is intriguing after coming off such a big win, Kentucky (-500) has the home-field advantage and is coming off a week of rest.

BET VANDERBILT +12.5 (-110).

Vanderbilt bounced back from its 2-game losing streak in a big way last week and has shown promise. Pavia and company have covered the spread in 4 of their 5 games this season, including all 3 as a double-digit underdog. Kentucky is also 4-1 ATS, but it has scored 20 or fewer points in 3 of its last 4 games.

LEAN OVER 44.5 (-110).

Vanderbilt has thrived on offense this season, scoring 27 or more points in each game and accumulating a 5-0 Over record. Going against a strong Kentucky defense, which has held opponents to 17 or fewer points in 3 straight games, may be challenging, but expect this game to contain a lot of back-and-forth action.

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