New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars odds, picks and predictions
By Drew Phelps,
7 hours ago
The New England Patriots (1-5) and Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) meet Sunday across the pond in Week 7. Kickoff from Wembley Stadium in London is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. ET (NFL Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’sNFL odds around the Patriots vs. Jaguars odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions..
The Patriots suffered their 5th straight loss Oct. 13, falling 41-21 as 6.5-point underdogs to the Houston Texans as the Over (39) hit.
Rookie QB Drake Maye made his first start, throwing for 243 yards with 3 TDs and 2 INTs while also rushing for 38 yards. He found a connection with WR Demario Douglas, who tallied 92 yards and a TD. Despite Maye’s efforts, New England’s offense continues to struggle, averaging just 13.4 points and 257.5 total yards per game during its skid.
The Jaguars head into their second straight game in London after a 35-16 loss to the Chicago Bears Oct. 13. They failed to cover as 1-point favorites, and the Over (44.5) cashed.
Jacksonville’s defense struggled again, allowing 373 yards, contributing in part to its league-worst 390 yards per game. The run game also faltered, managing just 68 yards. TE Evan Engram’s return was a bright spot, catching 10 passes for 102 yards, while QB Trevor Lawrence connected with WR Gabe Davis for both of his TD throws.
Moneyline (ML): Patriots +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Jaguars -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +6 (-110) | Jaguars -6 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Patriots vs. Jaguars key injuries
Patriots
WR Javon Baker (illness) questionable
LB Chris Jacobs (knee) questionable
CB Jonathan Jones (shoulder) questionable
OG Mike Jordan (ankle) questionable
OT Vederian Lowe (ankle) out
RB Rhamondre Stevenson (foot) questionable
LB Sione Takitaki (knee) questionable
CB Marco Wilson (groin) questionable
Jaguars
CB Tyson Campbell (hamstring) questionable
RB Travis Etienne (hamstring) questionable
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Patriots vs. Jaguars picks and predictions
Prediction
Jaguars 21, Patriots 17
PASS.
The Jags (-225) will win this game, but with Maye under center for the Patriots, New England will keep it close. I’ll take my wager to the spread.
BET PATRIOTS +5.5 (-110).
While this may not be the most thrilling matchup, it presents an interesting betting angle. Both teams come in at 1-5, but their seasons have taken different trajectories.
New England is in a rebuild, starting a rookie QB and working with a new coach, so expectations have been low. Meanwhile, the Jaguars, who were expected to compete for the AFC South title after a solid season last year, have underperformed, especially with Lawrence’s struggles and a lackluster run game led by Etienne.
Despite a tough 20-point loss to the Texans in Week 6, New England found a silver lining with Maye. In his first NFL start, Maye threw for 243 yards with 3 TDs, showing promise as a potential upgrade under center. He also displayed solid chemistry with Douglas and WR Kayshon Boutte.
The Patriots’ offense looked more dynamic, giving hope that it can keep pace against a Jaguars team that has struggled to cover as a favorite. Given New England’s solid track record in Week 7 games and Jacksonville’s issues, the Patriots are well-positioned to cover +5.5.
BET UNDER 42 (-110).
I’m favoring the Under despite the total rising slightly since opening. Both offenses have struggled this season, and while New England’s defense has been hit by injuries, it is still capable of slowing down a shaky Jacksonville attack.
The Patriots have averaged just 13.8 points per game, making them one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NFL, and Jacksonville’s offense remains inconsistent, especially with Lawrence’s struggles and the potential absence of Etienne.
Maye showed promise in his first start, but asking him to put up big numbers overseas is a tall order. The Jaguars’ defense may have its flaws, but it should benefit from facing a rookie under these conditions. Both teams are 3-3 O/U this season, and the Under has hit in 6 of the Jaguars’ last 9 Sunday games.
With both offenses lacking consistency and neither team likely to reach 24 points, this game has the makings of a low-scoring affair. I’m expecting plenty of stalled drives and defensive stands, making the UNDER 42 (-110) a strong choice.
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