Look of the Day for Mon. 8/19: Fade Zebby against the Padres

It's a brand new week for our Look of the Day series, and we're aiming to kick it off on a profitable note. Let's start things off in the green with our favorite MLB prop for Monday's slate.

Look of the Day: San Diego Padres team total over 3.5 (-130 DraftKings )

Twins at Padres, 9:40 p.m. ET

The Padres are taking on the Minnesota Twins on Monday night, and we're looking for San Diego's offense to do some damage in this matchup.

The Padres lineup is on a roll right now, as it's gone over this line in nine of its last 13 games. Over that span, San Diego ranks second in MLB in batting average (.287), OPS (.837) and wRC+ (138) against right-handed pitching. The Twins are rolling out a righty this lineup can attack.

Zebby Matthews made his MLB debut last week and gave up only five hits and two earned runs against the Kansas City Royals, but his advanced stats tell a different story. The rookie surrendered a 13.3 percent barrel rate and a 60.0 percent hard-hit rate in the game. His xERA was 5.81 due to how much hard contact he allowed. Matthews won't get away with that against a red-hot Padres lineup at Petco Park, the friendliest MLB stadium to home runs this season.

Matthews was dominant in the lower levels of the minor leagues, but he put up a 5.48 ERA and a 1.316 WHIP when he moved to Triple-A. We're not convinced he can hang with the big boys just yet, especially in his first career start on the road.