MLB home run props for 8/26: Here's a Raley good bet

Coming off a week in which we cashed tickets of +1100 and +340 in home run props, we're looking to keep it rolling to start the new week. Let's check out our three favorite HR bets for Monday's MLB slate.

Lars Nootbaar (+650 DraftKings )

Padres at Cardinals, 7:45 p.m. ET

San Diego Padres starter Randy Vasquez has been abysmal against left-handed hitters this season, giving up a .382 batting average and a .556 slugging percentage. He also ranks in the 20th percentile in barrel rate (9.4 percent). Nootbaar is the hottest lefty in the St. Louis Cardinals lineup, as he's batting .321 and slugging .500 with a 54.5 percent hard-hit rate against righties over the last two weeks. He has a .306 xBA, a team-best .563 xSLG and a 57.5 percent hard-hit rate against 4-seam fastballs this year, which is the pitch Vasquez uses the most.

Jake Cave (+870 FanDuel )

Marlins at Rockies, 8:40 p.m. ET

Miami Marlins starter Edward Cabrera is an auto fade in home run props every time he takes the mound. The right-hander ranks in the sixth percentile in hard-hit rate (45.9 percent) and the 14th percentile in barrel rate (9.9 percent) this season, and now he has to toe the rubber at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Cave leads the Colorado Rockies in home runs (four), slugging percentage (.557) and RBIs (12) over the last 30 days, and he's played only 18 games in that span.

Luke Raley (+700 DK )

Rays at Mariners, 9:40 p.m. ET

Raley is absolutely crushing right-handed pitching lately, as he's batting .381 and slugging .667 with a 66.5 percent fly-ball rate against righties over the last two weeks. He's also batting .319 and slugging .611 against 4-seam fastballs this season, and Tampa Bay Rays starter Ryan Pepiot throws his 4-seamer at one of the highest rates in MLB (50.5 percent). The wind is projected to blow straight out to center field at T-Mobile Park, which can only help our cause here.