We've hit a cold streak in strikeout props, but we're still 13-11 for a small profit over the last two weeks. Let's get back to our winning ways and close out the week on a profitable note.
Lopez hasn't missed a beat since coming off the injured list two weeks ago. The Atlanta Braves right-hander has racked up 17 strikeouts in two starts since his return, and he has an impressive 38.6 percent K rate in that span. His first start back just happened to be against the Philadelphia Phillies, and he struck out 10 batters and gave up only one run in 5.0 innings of work. Lopez has a 30.2 percent strikeout rate in his career against Phillies hitters, so this start should be no different.
Let's get back to our bread and butter with an under. Irvin hasn't been effective and forcing swings and misses of late, as he's gone under this line in four of his last five starts. The Washington Nationals righty has just a 15.8 percent strikeout rate in the month of August, and he now ranks in the 27th percentile in whiff rate this season (22.2 percent). The Chicago Cubs normally aren't a tough matchup, but they're striking out at the fifth-lowest rate in MLB against righties over the last two weeks (18.7 percent).
Falter is one of our favorite pitchers to fade in strikeout props because he ranks in the eighth percentile in whiff rate (19.6 percent) and the 11th percentile in K rate (17.1 percent) this year. He also rarely makes it past the fifth inning, so he needs to be efficient early to hit his over. It won't be easy for Falter to generate swings and misses against the Cleveland Guardians, which have the second-lowest strikeout rate against lefties this month (16.1 percent).
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