Table is set: Ranking every men's QF at 2024 U.S. Open

We're officially at the business end of the 2024 U.S. Open.

With the first four rounds in the books, the eight surviving men begin their quarterfinal matches on Tuesday and Wednesday. Here, we rank the four matchups from least to most exciting while taking into account head-to-head records, recent form, home-court advantage and other intangible factors.

Alex de Minaur (No. 10) vs Jack Draper (No. 25)

An Aussie versus a Pommie with a semifinal spot on the line? Did the Ashes come early? Every metric will tell you De Minaur is the favorite. The Australian owns a 3-0 head-to-head record over the Briton and has been a model of consistency in 2024, reaching the quarters at three consecutive majors. A hard-court specialist, he has an affinity for Flushing Meadows, where he has an 18-7 record, including a QF finish in 2020. All that said, Draper has the shiny new toy effect too hard to ignore. The 22-year-old has yet to drop a set in Queens, dispatching everyone in sight thus far. He is the third youngest British male to reach a major quarterfinal since Tim Henman and Andy Murray . It's his time.

Prediction: Draper in five sets

Grigor Dimitrov (No. 9) vs. Frances Tiafoe (No. 20)

This is a battle of two career underdogs. The two veterans have been knocking on the door for so long, only to fall to the accomplished names. One or the other could finally be ready to break through.

Both are carrying a lot of wear and tear into the match. While Dimitrov endured a grueling five-setter against Andrey Rublev in the last round, Tiafoe needed eight hours to put away Alexei Popyrin and Ben Shelton en route to the QF. As such, the first set could be significant, especially for the older Dimitrov. If the match goes deep, Tiafoe — who has the uncanny ability to rally a crowd — should prevail, especially if his strong backhand shows up when it matters. The American mustn't allow Dimitrov to slow down the pace due to the latter's strong game at the net. On paper, Dimitrov is the favorite, holding a 3-1 head-to-head advantage , including a comfortable win in the third round of last year's Wimbledon. All that said, the stars seem to be aligning for Tiafoe, who made a significant coaching change midway through the year by hiring David Witt . He's operating at a different level since.

Prediction: Tiafoe in four sets

Jannik Sinner (No. 1) vs. Daniil Medvedev (No. 9)

This is a matchup that rarely disappoints. The older Medvedev owns a 7-5 head-to-head advantage and won their most recent meeting at Wimbledon, also in the quarters. However, Sinner has won five of their last six matchups, which includes a win in the final of this year's Australian Open. The Italian World No. 1 has only lost five matches the entire year and is playing the best tennis of his life.

Medvedev has always been a fan-favorite in New York, reaching the finals at Flushing Meadows three times and winning the title in 2021, when he stunned Novak Djokovic in straight sets. However, it's hard to bet against Sinner, who has reached at least the quarterfinals at all four majors in 2024, becoming just the eighth men's player since 2000 to maintain such a level of consistency.

Prediction: Sinner in four sets

Alexander Zverev (No. 4) vs. Taylor Fritz (No. 12)

This will probably be the most emotionally-fueled quarterfinal. Fritz, like Tiafoe, is trying to become the first American man since Andy Roddick to win the U.S. Open title. He's got all the momentum in the world after beating World No. 8 Casper Ruud in the fourth round and dispatching his first three opponents in straight sets. Fritz is also very familiar with Zverev's game, beating the German in the fourth round of this year's Wimbledon, which could give him a psychological edge.

Zverev, meanwhile, has every reason to be beaming with confidence, too. After repeatedly falling to beat the likes of Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal in high-stakes matches, he's in a position to end his major drought while not running into any of those juggernauts. Once earmarked as the next Roger Federer , Zverev failed to meet those expectations, reaching only two major finals thus far. To his credit, he's having a splendid 2024 that has seen him maintain a 52-16 singles record, including a loss to Alcaraz in the final at Roland Garros. Is he finally about to break through?

Prediction: Fritz in five sets