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    Look of the Day for 9/17: Fade L.A.'s Miller against Miami

    By Jack Dougherty,

    5 hours ago

    https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=3p56qb_0vZs3VVA00

    https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=3hYH3k_0vZs3VVA00
    Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Bobby Miller.

    Saquon Barkley went over his rushing attempts prop on Monday night to cash our first Look of the Day this week, and we're aiming to keep the profit train rolling. Let's do just that with our favorite MLB prop for Tuesday night's slate.

    Look of the Day: Miami Marlins team total over 3.5 (-115 DraftKings )

    Dodgers at Marlins, 6:35 p.m. ET

    The Marlins are taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday night, and we like Miami to put up more runs than the betting market expects.

    Dodgers starter Bobby Miller has been one of our favorite pitchers to fade all season long. The right-hander ranks in the first percentile in xERA (7.06) and the second percentile in xBA (.294), barrel rate (12.3 percent) and hard-hit rate (48.5 percent). Miller has surrendered at least three earned runs in six straight starts. He's given up 12 homers in that span, and he's only getting worse with 13 earned runs allowed and seven walks over his last two starts.

    Even if Miller has his best performance of the season, the Marlins still have a chance to jump on the Dodgers relievers. L.A.'s bullpen ranks dead last in xFIP and strikeout rate and 24th in hard-hit rate over the last 30 days.

    As for the Marlins offense, it ranks third in MLB in batting average (.292), sixth in OPS (.802), fourth in wOBA (.348) and sixth in wRC+ (122) against righties over the last two weeks. Miami should be able to tee off in this matchup.

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